Game · 2019-20 Semifinals
2/23 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+78.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 5 honba: Kondo Seiichi ron 18,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +46.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -6.2 | +9.5 | -3.3 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 19% | 32% | 24% | 25% | +1.3 | -7.4 | +2.9 | +3.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 7,700 from Mizuhara Akina | 22% | 24% | 26% | 28% | -3.2 | -23.0 | +33.2 | -7.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 17% | 10% | 53% | 20% | -29.5 | +2.5 | +25.4 | +1.6 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 3% | 6% | 77% | 14% | +5.4 | -2.8 | 0.0 | -2.6 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 18,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 4% | 5% | 79% | 12% | +0.3 | -36.1 | -10.2 | +46.0 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,300 from Sawazaki Makoto | 2% | 1% | 55% | 42% | -0.9 | +3.2 | -4.1 | +1.7 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 1% | 51% | 47% | -4.9 | -0.7 | +8.7 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,600 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 1% | 61% | 38% | +0.2 | -3.0 | +6.5 | -3.7 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,600 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 0% | 72% | 28% | +1.3 | -0.5 | -5.4 | +4.6 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 68% | 32% | -3.8 | -4.0 | -30.3 | +38.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | -17.3 | +27.0 | -9.5 | -0.2 |