Game · 2019-20 Finals
6/15 Game 1
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+82.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +4.3 | -4.5 | +5.7 | -5.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 28% | 23% | 28% | 21% | -8.5 | -2.6 | +14.2 | -3.0 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 21% | 38% | 20% | +33.4 | -17.2 | -9.6 | -6.6 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 47% | 10% | 28% | 15% | +32.8 | +0.3 | -34.1 | +1.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 83% | 5% | 5% | 7% | -4.4 | -2.1 | -0.1 | +6.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Sawazaki Makoto | 77% | 5% | 5% | 12% | +11.7 | +2.0 | -1.1 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 91% | 3% | 2% | 3% | +14.4 | -5.3 | -4.9 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 97% | 1% | 1% | 1% | +3.3 | +0.4 | -6.1 | +2.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,900 | 98% | 1% | 1% | 1% | +5.0 | -0.9 | -1.7 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 99% | 1% | 0% | 0% | -2.0 | +6.6 | -2.9 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 3,900 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.4 | +11.3 | -3.7 | -6.1 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 99% | 1% | 0% | 0% | +0.6 | -0.8 | +14.4 | -14.1 |
| South 3 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -2.8 | -1.3 | -21.5 | +25.6 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 16,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -3.9 | -15.4 | +53.4 | -34.1 |