Game · 2019-20 Final Series
6/15 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+82.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +4.3 | -2.3 | +3.8 | -5.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 23% | 29% | 22% | -8.1 | -2.4 | +12.4 | -1.9 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 21% | 38% | 20% | +33.4 | -20.5 | -5.9 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 48% | 8% | 30% | 14% | +31.8 | +3.5 | -35.0 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 82% | 5% | 5% | 8% | -2.6 | -0.9 | -4.0 | +7.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Makoto Sawazaki | 79% | 6% | 4% | 12% | +10.9 | -0.8 | +3.7 | -13.8 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 91% | 3% | 3% | 3% | +14.3 | -4.0 | -5.3 | -5.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 97% | 1% | 1% | 1% | +4.0 | +1.8 | -7.6 | +1.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,900 | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | +4.9 | -3.3 | -1.1 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -2.4 | +7.8 | -3.2 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 3,900 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.9 | +12.0 | -5.2 | -4.9 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 99% | 1% | 0% | 0% | +1.6 | -2.2 | +16.3 | -15.7 |
| South 3 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -3.1 | -1.2 | -22.3 | +26.5 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 16,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -4.0 | -15.2 | +53.3 | -34.1 |