Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Final Series

6/15 Game 2

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+49.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +25.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Yuumi Uotani● Sho Shiratori● Nobuhiro Ishibashi● Kotaro Uchikawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Yuumi● Sho● Nobuhiro● Kotaro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Nobuhiro Ishibashi
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Nobuhiro Ishibashi
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
East 1Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,00027%24%24%26%-14.1-6.2+24.4-4.1
East 2Exhaustive draw15%20%44%21%-1.8+7.7-2.4-3.5
East 2, 1 honbaNobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,300 from Yuumi Uotani16%24%40%20%-0.5-10.4+10.1+0.9
East 3Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi13%17%50%20%+30.1-1.8-26.9-1.4
East 4Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,00038%18%25%20%-5.5+23.8-5.2-13.1
South 1Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa32%34%22%12%-3.6+25.9-1.2-21.1
South 2Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa20%60%16%4%+10.8-1.4-1.7-7.7
South 3Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,00027%58%13%2%-1.4+5.6-18.5+14.3
South 4Exhaustive draw21%73%1%5%-4.5-3.1+3.1+4.5
South 4, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani19%70%3%8%+6.9-15.2-6.5+14.9
South 4, 2 honbaNobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa36%47%5%12%-10.5+24.7+10.2-24.4

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)