Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Final Series

6/16 Game 2

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +30.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Yuumi Uotani● Yoshihiro Matsumoto● Koshin Asakura● Makoto Sawazaki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Yuumi● Yoshihiro● Koshin● Makoto
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYoshihiro Matsumoto
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Koshin Asakura
1st-place chance
Makoto Sawazaki
1st-place chance
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Koshin Asakura
Expected pt change
Makoto Sawazaki
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw26%23%25%26%-7.1+4.7+4.2-1.8
East 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw22%26%27%25%+3.3-3.9-1.3+1.9
East 3, 2 honbaKoshin Asakura tsumo 12,00022%25%28%26%-11.0-12.2+40.0-16.8
East 3, 3 honbaYuumi Uotani tsumo 8,00013%13%62%13%-7.7+28.5-14.6-6.2
East 4Exhaustive draw10%33%46%11%+1.9-3.0-4.3+5.4
East 4, 1 honbaYoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,10012%31%41%16%+8.2-2.4+2.9-8.7
South 1Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 6,00015%29%47%9%+18.3-5.2-8.1-5.0
South 1, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani tsumo 8,00027%27%38%8%-19.9+30.9-5.4-5.6
South 2Koshin Asakura tsumo 1,10010%57%28%5%-0.6-2.0+5.6-3.0
South 3Exhaustive draw9%57%31%4%+3.7+1.3-3.5-1.5
South 4, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani tsumo 8,00011%59%25%5%-8.4+27.9-7.0-12.4

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)