Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2019-20 Finals

6/16 Game 2

Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +31.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Uotani Yuumi● Matsumoto Yoshihiro● Asakura Koshin● Sawazaki Makoto0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Uotani● Matsumoto● Asakura● Sawazaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMatsumoto Yoshihiro
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Asakura Koshin
1st-place chance
Sawazaki Makoto
1st-place chance
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Asakura Koshin
Expected pt change
Sawazaki Makoto
Expected pt change
East 1Draw25%26%24%25%-3.6+1.6+4.4-2.3
East 2, 1 honbaDraw22%26%28%24%+1.3-1.3-2.9+2.9
East 3, 2 honbaAsakura Koshin tsumo 12,00024%26%25%25%-11.2-15.4+41.6-14.9
East 3, 3 honbaUotani Yuumi tsumo 8,00013%13%61%14%-7.1+28.1-13.4-7.5
East 4Draw11%31%45%12%+2.3-2.0-3.0+2.8
East 4, 1 honbaMatsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,10012%31%44%14%+7.6-0.8+0.4-7.1
South 1Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 6,00016%30%46%9%+17.5-5.8-6.3-5.4
South 1, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi tsumo 8,00026%27%39%8%-18.9+31.6-7.6-5.1
South 2Asakura Koshin tsumo 1,10010%58%27%5%-2.9-4.0+8.2-1.4
South 3Draw8%56%32%5%+7.1+2.5-5.7-3.9
South 4, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi tsumo 8,00012%60%24%4%-10.0+27.6-6.4-11.2

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)