Game · 2019-20 Finals
6/18 Game 1
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+94.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Asakura Koshin tsumo 48,000, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +68.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -3.4 | -0.5 | +4.4 | -0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 24% | 27% | 27% | -4.5 | +6.0 | +1.5 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 28% | 29% | 23% | +42.2 | -20.3 | -10.3 | -11.6 |
| East 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 54% | 13% | 19% | 14% | +1.0 | +4.8 | -8.5 | +2.7 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 56% | 14% | 13% | 16% | +1.3 | 0.0 | +22.5 | -23.8 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 48,000 | 57% | 14% | 24% | 6% | +68.4 | -22.1 | -27.2 | -19.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -6.4 | +9.3 | -0.5 | -2.3 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 3,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -2.0 | +9.8 | -3.7 | -4.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +0.5 | -3.6 | +0.1 | +3.0 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +0.6 | -24.8 | +6.9 | +17.4 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -4.2 | -13.4 | -19.2 | +36.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 5,800 from Ooi Takaharu | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 | +7.2 | -16.5 | +9.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 100% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.1 | -13.7 | +14.7 | -1.2 |