Game · 2019-20 Final Series
6/18 Game 1
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+94.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Koshin Asakura tsumo 48,000, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +66.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -4.8 | -4.8 | +9.7 | -0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 23% | 29% | 26% | -2.4 | +7.9 | -2.9 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 29% | 27% | 24% | +40.2 | -21.0 | -8.3 | -11.0 |
| East 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 54% | 12% | 19% | 14% | +3.7 | +3.9 | -7.6 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 59% | 13% | 14% | 14% | +0.7 | +1.9 | +20.8 | -23.4 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 48,000 | 59% | 13% | 24% | 5% | +66.8 | -22.7 | -24.8 | -19.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -6.4 | +10.1 | -1.1 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 3,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.4 | +9.1 | -5.3 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +0.3 | -3.6 | +0.6 | +2.7 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +0.2 | -25.4 | +6.3 | +18.9 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -4.2 | -12.7 | -18.7 | +35.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 5,800 from Takaharu Ooi | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +0.5 | +8.1 | -17.0 | +8.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.2 | -14.5 | +15.3 | -0.5 |