Game · 2019-20 Final Series
6/18 Game 2
Akira Wakutsu finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Akira Wakutsu tsumo 12,000, which moved Akira Wakutsu's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -7.2 | +3.6 | +5.1 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,100 | 20% | 27% | 29% | 24% | -0.1 | -1.0 | -1.7 | +2.9 |
| East 3 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 25% | 27% | 26% | -12.1 | -11.1 | +32.9 | -9.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 16% | 56% | 17% | +1.8 | -2.4 | +1.0 | -0.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 12% | 14% | 57% | 16% | -10.0 | +11.1 | +2.7 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Akira Wakutsu | 8% | 18% | 61% | 13% | -3.4 | -3.1 | -6.8 | +13.3 |
| South 2 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 18% | 55% | 21% | -4.8 | -9.5 | +18.8 | -4.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 5% | 82% | 12% | +1.8 | -3.0 | +1.1 | 0.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 3,900 from Akira Wakutsu | 1% | 1% | 87% | 11% | +35.6 | -22.7 | +1.6 | -14.5 |