Game · 2019-20 Finals
6/18 Game 2
Wakutsu Akira finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Wakutsu Akira tsumo 12,000, which moved Wakutsu Akira's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -5.2 | +4.0 | +4.8 | -3.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,100 | 20% | 28% | 29% | 24% | +0.3 | -2.7 | -1.4 | +3.9 |
| East 3 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 25% | 28% | 27% | -10.4 | -12.2 | +32.5 | -9.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 12% | 15% | 56% | 17% | 0.0 | +1.7 | +0.5 | -2.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 12% | 15% | 57% | 15% | -8.2 | +8.3 | +2.7 | -2.8 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Wakutsu Akira | 9% | 19% | 61% | 11% | -4.5 | -1.3 | -7.0 | +12.8 |
| South 2 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 19% | 54% | 21% | -5.5 | -10.2 | +18.6 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 5% | 80% | 13% | +1.8 | -2.8 | +2.0 | -1.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,900 from Wakutsu Akira | 1% | 1% | 88% | 10% | +36.0 | -23.3 | +1.1 | -13.8 |