Game · 2019-20 Final Series
6/19 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+77.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Win, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +27.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,800 from Yuumi Uotani | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +16.9 | +1.6 | -14.7 | -3.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 38% | 24% | 16% | 21% | +0.5 | +2.8 | -2.1 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 38% | 26% | 15% | 21% | -3.5 | +1.4 | +23.0 | -21.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 28% | 27% | 11% | +1.8 | +1.9 | +2.2 | -6.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 28% | 28% | 9% | +6.8 | -5.0 | +0.1 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 23% | 28% | 8% | +10.5 | -1.8 | -6.5 | -2.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Win | 53% | 20% | 20% | 7% | +27.1 | -24.5 | -0.1 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 84% | 4% | 10% | 3% | -1.7 | +0.5 | -0.9 | +2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 85% | 4% | 9% | 2% | +4.8 | -4.4 | +2.7 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 90% | 0% | 8% | 1% | +15.6 | +2.2 | -1.2 | -16.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.0 | +1.7 | -2.6 | +1.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.7 | -1.1 | +10.8 | -8.0 |