Game · 2019-20 Finals
6/19 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+77.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Win, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +26.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,800 from Uotani Yuumi | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +13.2 | +0.2 | -12.2 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 34% | 25% | 17% | 24% | +2.3 | +5.6 | -4.2 | -3.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 37% | 27% | 15% | 21% | +0.6 | -2.9 | +23.4 | -21.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 36% | 25% | 28% | 11% | +0.6 | +4.5 | +1.4 | -6.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 28% | 27% | 8% | +7.7 | -3.9 | -2.6 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 43% | 23% | 26% | 8% | +9.5 | -3.4 | -2.7 | -3.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Win | 53% | 19% | 21% | 7% | +26.8 | -24.7 | -0.3 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 84% | 4% | 10% | 2% | -2.4 | +1.4 | -1.6 | +2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 84% | 4% | 10% | 3% | +5.2 | -5.8 | +2.8 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 91% | 0% | 8% | 1% | +15.3 | +3.1 | -0.4 | -18.0 |
| South 4 | Draw | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.7 | +3.2 | -3.3 | +0.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.8 | -2.3 | +11.1 | -7.0 |