Game · 2019-20 Finals
6/19 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 4 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 9,600 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +29.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -18.4 | +34.2 | -6.2 | -9.6 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 53% | 18% | 18% | -7.3 | +23.6 | -8.3 | -8.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 7% | 74% | 10% | 9% | -0.4 | -18.1 | +18.7 | -0.2 |
| East 3 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 9% | 58% | 21% | 13% | -24.1 | -4.6 | +27.5 | +1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,500 | 3% | 47% | 41% | 10% | -2.6 | +1.5 | -3.0 | +4.1 |
| East 4 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 49% | 37% | 12% | -4.2 | -9.2 | +23.5 | -10.1 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 1% | 30% | 64% | 4% | +24.7 | +1.3 | -0.1 | -25.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,500 from Sawazaki Makoto | 3% | 32% | 64% | 1% | +2.7 | +1.3 | -4.5 | +0.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 4% | 35% | 59% | 2% | +28.0 | +6.6 | -31.5 | -3.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 18% | 52% | 28% | 2% | +4.9 | -0.8 | -3.5 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 9,600 from Kobayashi Go | 20% | 53% | 25% | 2% | +29.3 | -9.7 | -3.8 | -15.8 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,200 | 46% | 35% | 19% | 0% | -3.0 | -0.1 | -5.7 | +8.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 46% | 37% | 16% | 1% | +5.8 | -4.4 | -3.7 | +2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,300 from Sawazaki Makoto | 54% | 31% | 14% | 2% | +7.8 | +0.8 | -10.6 | +2.0 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,500 | 70% | 26% | 3% | 1% | +15.3 | -8.4 | -2.2 | -4.7 |