Game · 2019-20 Final Series
6/19 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Makoto Sawazaki, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +29.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -17.5 | +32.1 | -7.0 | -7.6 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 51% | 19% | 17% | -9.5 | +26.0 | -10.7 | -5.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 6% | 75% | 9% | 10% | +0.9 | -18.6 | +20.1 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 8% | 58% | 22% | 12% | -25.4 | -4.4 | +28.1 | +1.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 1,500 | 2% | 47% | 41% | 11% | +0.5 | -0.3 | -3.9 | +3.7 |
| East 4 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 47% | 38% | 12% | -5.5 | -7.1 | +24.3 | -11.7 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 31% | 65% | 3% | +23.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -23.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,500 from Makoto Sawazaki | 3% | 31% | 65% | 1% | +2.8 | +2.8 | -5.2 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 3% | 37% | 58% | 1% | +29.3 | +5.1 | -32.2 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 53% | 27% | 2% | +5.5 | -3.1 | -1.2 | -1.2 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 9,600 from Go Kobayashi | 22% | 49% | 27% | 2% | +29.0 | -7.5 | -6.6 | -15.0 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 5,200 | 46% | 36% | 18% | 1% | -4.4 | +0.5 | -3.8 | +7.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 45% | 37% | 17% | 1% | +5.8 | -4.6 | -3.8 | +2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,300 from Makoto Sawazaki | 54% | 30% | 15% | 1% | +9.2 | -0.6 | -11.0 | +2.4 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,500 | 72% | 24% | 4% | 1% | +14.4 | -7.2 | -2.3 | -5.0 |