Game · 2019-20 Finals
6/22 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+71.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +28.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +28.7 | -9.8 | -8.6 | -10.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,000 | 49% | 17% | 18% | 17% | +10.9 | -2.8 | -4.4 | -3.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,500 from Uotani Yuumi | 59% | 14% | 13% | 14% | +3.2 | +0.3 | -4.1 | +0.6 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Draw | 61% | 14% | 11% | 14% | +6.1 | -1.4 | -1.6 | -3.1 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi | 66% | 13% | 10% | 11% | +17.0 | -0.5 | -17.6 | +1.1 |
| East 1, 5 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 81% | 8% | 4% | 7% | -3.2 | +9.9 | +0.5 | -7.2 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 79% | 11% | 4% | 6% | +16.8 | -7.8 | -2.6 | -6.5 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 93% | 3% | 1% | 3% | -5.1 | -10.5 | +23.9 | -8.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 90% | 3% | 5% | 2% | +3.2 | -2.1 | -3.1 | +2.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 95% | 2% | 2% | 2% | -2.4 | +7.4 | -0.7 | -4.3 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 94% | 2% | 3% | 1% | -4.6 | -1.2 | +7.8 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 94% | 2% | 3% | 1% | -4.1 | -17.1 | +26.8 | -5.7 |
| South 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 91% | 0% | 9% | 1% | +3.9 | -9.2 | -21.5 | +26.8 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -1.9 | -16.4 | -11.2 | +29.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,700 | 95% | 0% | 0% | 5% | +1.4 | +3.0 | -2.7 | -1.7 |