Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2019-20 Finals

6/22 Game 1

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+71.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +28.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 1South 1End● Ooi Takaharu● Okada Sayaka● Uotani Yuumi● Ishibashi Nobuhiro0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3End● Ooi● Okada● Uotani● Ishibashi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultOoi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Okada Sayaka
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Ishibashi Nobuhiro
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Okada Sayaka
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Ishibashi Nobuhiro
Expected pt change
East 1Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,00027%25%24%25%+28.7-9.8-8.6-10.3
East 1, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu tsumo 3,00049%17%18%17%+10.9-2.8-4.4-3.7
East 1, 2 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 1,500 from Uotani Yuumi59%14%13%14%+3.2+0.3-4.1+0.6
East 1, 3 honbaDraw61%14%11%14%+6.1-1.4-1.6-3.1
East 1, 4 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi66%13%10%11%+17.0-0.5-17.6+1.1
East 1, 5 honbaOkada Sayaka ron 2,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro81%8%4%7%-3.2+9.9+0.5-7.2
East 2Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,00079%11%4%6%+16.8-7.8-2.6-6.5
East 3Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,00093%3%1%3%-5.1-10.5+23.9-8.3
East 3, 1 honbaDraw90%3%5%2%+3.2-2.1-3.1+2.0
East 4, 2 honbaOkada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu95%2%2%2%-2.4+7.4-0.7-4.3
South 1Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu94%2%3%1%-4.6-1.2+7.8-2.1
South 2Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,00094%2%3%1%-4.1-17.1+26.8-5.7
South 3Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi91%0%9%1%+3.9-9.2-21.5+26.8
South 4Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka99%0%0%1%-1.9-16.4-11.2+29.5
South 4, 1 honbaOkada Sayaka tsumo 2,70095%0%0%5%+1.4+3.0-2.7-1.7

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)