Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Final Series

6/22 Game 1

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+71.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +30.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 1South 1End● Takaharu Ooi● Sayaka Okada● Yuumi Uotani● Nobuhiro Ishibashi0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3End● Takaharu● Sayaka● Yuumi● Nobuhiro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Sayaka Okada
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Nobuhiro Ishibashi
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Sayaka Okada
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Nobuhiro Ishibashi
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,00025%24%26%25%+30.7-9.5-10.4-10.8
East 1, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 3,00049%17%18%17%+10.2-1.5-2.6-6.1
East 1, 2 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 1,500 from Yuumi Uotani58%15%14%13%+4.6+1.6-7.4+1.2
East 1, 3 honbaExhaustive draw62%15%11%12%+5.0-3.3+1.9-3.7
East 1, 4 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Yuumi Uotani66%11%12%11%+17.2-0.7-18.4+1.8
East 1, 5 honbaSayaka Okada ron 2,600 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi82%7%4%7%-1.2+8.40.0-7.2
East 2Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,00082%9%4%5%+14.8-7.0-3.3-4.5
East 3Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,00093%3%1%3%-5.2-10.7+24.2-8.3
East 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw91%2%4%3%+2.0-0.6-2.6+1.2
East 4, 2 honbaSayaka Okada ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi93%2%2%2%-1.0+8.4-1.7-5.7
South 1Yuumi Uotani ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi95%3%2%1%-4.6-2.3+8.7-1.9
South 2Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,00095%2%3%0%-4.8-18.5+27.0-3.7
South 3Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani90%0%10%1%+4.2-8.9-21.7+26.3
South 4Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada98%0%0%2%-1.3-16.5-11.6+29.4
South 4, 1 honbaSayaka Okada tsumo 2,70095%0%0%5%+1.2+3.3-2.4-2.0

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)