Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2019-20 Finals

6/22 Game 2

Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+50.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 4 honba: Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +34.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kayamori Sayaka● Asakura Koshin● Uchikawa Kotaro● Ooi Takaharu0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Kayamori● Asakura● Uchikawa● Ooi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAsakura Koshin
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Kayamori Sayaka
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Asakura Koshin
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Kayamori Sayaka
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
East 1Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka25%24%25%26%-5.9+2.1-30.0+33.9
East 2Draw17%22%9%52%+0.2+6.7-3.5-3.4
East 2, 1 honbaAsakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro17%26%8%50%+10.2-12.3-0.9+3.0
East 3Draw23%17%7%53%+2.4-3.9+6.0-4.5
East 3, 1 honbaDraw26%15%11%49%+5.3+4.3-6.4-3.1
East 4, 2 honbaDraw31%19%7%44%-0.6-2.3-2.1+4.9
East 4, 3 honbaKayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,00030%16%5%49%-8.7-8.7+26.8-9.4
South 1Draw26%14%17%43%+7.0-0.9-2.8-3.3
South 1, 1 honbaDraw31%13%15%41%-5.4-5.6+6.6+4.5
South 2, 2 honbaDraw25%11%19%44%-3.6+8.2-2.6-2.0
South 2, 3 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu23%16%18%43%-0.6+28.6-3.8-24.2
South 2, 4 honbaKayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin24%36%17%23%-34.7-0.5+34.0+1.3
South 3Draw5%33%39%23%-0.5-5.7+11.7-5.5
South 3, 1 honbaKayamori Sayaka ron 7,700 from Uchikawa Kotaro5%24%54%17%+0.9-28.6+24.0+3.7
South 3, 2 honbaOoi Takaharu tsumo 2,7001%2%87%10%-5.4-3.9-1.5+10.8
South 4Draw0%0%89%11%-1.1-2.2-2.7+6.0
South 4, 1 honbaAsakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka0%0%84%16%+22.6-15.7-1.4-5.5

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)