Game · 2019-20 Final Series
6/22 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+50.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 4 honba: Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +36.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 26% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -2.9 | +0.5 | -30.4 | +32.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 21% | 8% | 52% | -3.8 | +8.2 | -2.9 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 17% | 27% | 6% | 50% | +10.0 | -11.7 | -0.7 | +2.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 17% | 8% | 53% | +2.4 | -3.8 | +5.3 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 16% | 10% | 48% | +6.3 | +5.0 | -6.9 | -4.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 19% | 6% | 44% | -2.4 | -3.0 | -1.4 | +6.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 17% | 6% | 50% | -6.8 | -7.6 | +25.7 | -11.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 15% | 16% | 43% | +6.0 | -3.0 | -0.5 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 14% | 16% | 41% | -5.1 | -5.7 | +4.8 | +5.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 11% | 18% | 47% | -2.0 | +7.7 | -1.8 | -3.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 24% | 16% | 18% | 42% | -0.4 | +28.2 | -4.7 | -23.1 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 26% | 34% | 16% | 24% | -35.5 | +0.1 | +36.2 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 32% | 42% | 21% | -1.3 | -6.6 | +10.0 | -2.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 7,700 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 4% | 23% | 54% | 19% | +2.1 | -26.8 | +25.0 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 2% | 88% | 9% | -6.5 | -4.1 | -1.6 | +12.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 89% | 10% | -1.0 | -1.9 | -3.1 | +6.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 1% | 84% | 15% | +22.8 | -16.3 | -1.5 | -5.1 |