Game · 2019-20 Finals
6/22 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+50.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 4 honba: Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -5.9 | +2.1 | -30.0 | +33.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 17% | 22% | 9% | 52% | +0.2 | +6.7 | -3.5 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 17% | 26% | 8% | 50% | +10.2 | -12.3 | -0.9 | +3.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 23% | 17% | 7% | 53% | +2.4 | -3.9 | +6.0 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 26% | 15% | 11% | 49% | +5.3 | +4.3 | -6.4 | -3.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 31% | 19% | 7% | 44% | -0.6 | -2.3 | -2.1 | +4.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 16% | 5% | 49% | -8.7 | -8.7 | +26.8 | -9.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 26% | 14% | 17% | 43% | +7.0 | -0.9 | -2.8 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 13% | 15% | 41% | -5.4 | -5.6 | +6.6 | +4.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 25% | 11% | 19% | 44% | -3.6 | +8.2 | -2.6 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 23% | 16% | 18% | 43% | -0.6 | +28.6 | -3.8 | -24.2 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 24% | 36% | 17% | 23% | -34.7 | -0.5 | +34.0 | +1.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 5% | 33% | 39% | 23% | -0.5 | -5.7 | +11.7 | -5.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 7,700 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 5% | 24% | 54% | 17% | +0.9 | -28.6 | +24.0 | +3.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 2% | 87% | 10% | -5.4 | -3.9 | -1.5 | +10.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 89% | 11% | -1.1 | -2.2 | -2.7 | +6.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 0% | 84% | 16% | +22.6 | -15.7 | -1.4 | -5.5 |