Game · 2019-20 Final Series
6/23 Game 1
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+74.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +31.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -9.0 | -1.5 | +13.7 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 23% | 34% | 25% | -10.3 | +31.5 | -9.7 | -11.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,500 from Sho Shiratori | 12% | 47% | 25% | 16% | +2.1 | +4.6 | -6.4 | -0.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 52% | 20% | 16% | +8.5 | -3.6 | -1.2 | -3.7 |
| East 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 49% | 20% | 14% | -5.5 | +17.8 | -7.1 | -5.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 68% | 12% | 10% | -0.1 | +3.4 | -2.7 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 9% | 74% | 9% | 8% | -13.6 | +13.0 | +0.6 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 90% | 5% | 4% | -3.4 | -1.7 | +7.1 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 0% | 90% | 6% | 3% | -12.4 | +9.9 | +0.9 | +1.6 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 7,700 from Seiichi Kondo | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -13.1 | -0.9 | -8.1 | +22.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -0.2 | +3.6 | -5.6 | +2.2 |