Game · 2019-20 Finals
6/23 Game 1
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+74.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +29.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -9.0 | -1.0 | +14.2 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 23% | 34% | 23% | -11.8 | +29.0 | -8.4 | -8.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,500 from Shiratori Sho | 12% | 45% | 26% | 16% | -0.2 | +6.7 | -6.3 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 52% | 21% | 16% | +10.1 | -3.0 | -2.2 | -5.0 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 50% | 20% | 14% | -4.7 | +17.0 | -7.8 | -4.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 69% | 12% | 9% | -2.3 | +3.9 | -1.2 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 9% | 75% | 10% | 7% | -12.1 | +12.4 | -1.2 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 89% | 5% | 5% | -2.1 | -1.5 | +6.8 | -3.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 1% | 91% | 5% | 4% | -12.9 | +9.7 | +1.0 | +2.2 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 7,700 from Kondo Seiichi | 0% | 98% | 0% | 1% | -13.6 | -0.6 | -7.4 | +21.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -0.1 | +3.6 | -5.5 | +2.1 |