Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Final Series

6/23 Game 2

Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+61.2pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +35.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Go Kobayashi● Makoto Sawazaki● Takaharu Ooi● Yuumi Uotani0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Go● Makoto● Takaharu● Yuumi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMakoto Sawazaki
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Makoto Sawazaki
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani25%24%27%25%-1.2+11.2-11.6+1.7
East 2Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,20024%32%19%26%-3.6-8.8+16.0-3.6
East 3Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi22%26%29%24%-2.9-30.7+33.9-0.3
East 3, 1 honbaGo Kobayashi tsumo 2,00015%8%58%20%-1.7-4.5-2.3+8.5
East 4Exhaustive draw15%5%55%25%-2.0-1.3-3.4+6.7
East 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw14%6%51%29%-1.3+4.00.0-2.6
South 1, 2 honbaGo Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani13%7%52%28%-6.0-2.9-26.9+35.8
South 2Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi5%5%19%71%+1.0-10.1+0.9+8.3
South 3Exhaustive draw3%0%14%83%-0.3-2.9-3.0+6.1
South 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw1%0%3%96%-2.8-3.2+5.6+0.4

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)