Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

1/6 Game 2

Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+63.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +32.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Masato Hagiwara● Yudai Maehara● Takaharu Ooi● Taro Suzuki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Masato● Yudai● Takaharu● Taro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMasato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Yudai Maehara
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Yudai Maehara
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Yudai Maehara25%25%25%25%-1.2-3.6+5.0-0.3
East 2Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Yudai Maehara23%23%29%26%+1.1-18.1+16.3+0.7
East 3Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki24%11%41%25%+18.2+1.0-4.5-14.7
East 4Exhaustive draw37%12%35%15%-1.0+5.8-0.6-4.2
South 1, 1 honbaTaro Suzuki tsumo 1,50037%15%35%12%-2.0-5.1-0.9+8.0
South 2Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,40035%12%35%18%-7.7-12.8+26.8-6.3
South 3Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara19%3%68%10%+24.3-17.9-7.1+0.8
South 4Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara43%0%51%6%+32.2-9.0-18.7-4.5

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)