Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

1/7 Game 1

Akira Wakutsu finished 1st (+55.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Akira Wakutsu ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara, which moved Akira Wakutsu's expected points by +26.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Akira Wakutsu● Yudai Maehara● Aki Nikaido● Kanako Maruyama0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Akira● Yudai● Aki● Kanako
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYudai Maehara
1st-place chance
Aki Nikaido
1st-place chance
Kanako Maruyama
1st-place chance
Akira Wakutsu
1st-place chance
Yudai Maehara
Expected pt change
Aki Nikaido
Expected pt change
Kanako Maruyama
Expected pt change
Akira Wakutsu
Expected pt change
East 1Kanako Maruyama ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido26%24%26%23%-1.0-1.4+0.1+2.3
East 2Yudai Maehara tsumo 4,00025%23%25%27%+11.5-5.7-3.1-2.7
East 3Akira Wakutsu ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara33%19%24%24%-25.1-0.6-1.1+26.7
East 4Exhaustive draw15%18%21%46%-2.1-1.7+3.2+0.6
South 1, 1 honbaAkira Wakutsu ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara14%16%22%48%-23.6+0.3-1.8+25.1
South 2Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,0001%10%12%77%+19.9-15.9-5.6+1.6
South 3Aki Nikaido ron 6,400 from Yudai Maehara4%2%10%84%-23.1+23.0-4.8+5.0
South 4Kanako Maruyama tsumo 8,0000%3%3%95%-5.9-14.0+22.9-3.0

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)