Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/7 Game 2
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+61.0pt). The game was decided in East 4: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +37.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,500 | 27% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -7.5 | -1.5 | -1.7 | +10.6 |
| East 2 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 24% | 25% | 31% | +11.6 | -7.5 | -2.2 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 28% | 18% | 23% | 31% | -0.2 | -0.2 | -4.2 | +4.6 |
| East 4 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 19% | 19% | 33% | +37.5 | -8.7 | -9.5 | -19.3 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 66% | 10% | 11% | 14% | +0.4 | +14.4 | -14.9 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 6,000 | 68% | 15% | 6% | 12% | -6.4 | +17.7 | -4.9 | -6.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 58% | 27% | 4% | 11% | +15.1 | -3.9 | +1.5 | -12.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 79% | 13% | 4% | 4% | +2.3 | +6.8 | -7.8 | -1.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 84% | 14% | 0% | 3% | +6.5 | -6.8 | +18.3 | -18.0 |