Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/7 Game 2
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+61.0pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +38.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -8.6 | +0.2 | +0.7 | +7.7 |
| East 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 25% | 25% | 29% | +10.7 | -9.6 | -1.2 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 18% | 24% | 31% | +1.0 | -0.2 | -7.5 | +6.7 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 17% | 18% | 35% | +38.6 | -8.0 | -8.8 | -21.8 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 66% | 11% | 10% | 14% | +0.1 | +15.1 | -15.9 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 6,000 | 69% | 14% | 5% | 12% | -8.1 | +16.9 | -2.6 | -6.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 56% | 27% | 4% | 12% | +17.4 | -4.3 | -0.8 | -12.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 81% | 12% | 3% | 4% | +0.4 | +7.3 | -5.8 | -1.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 83% | 14% | 0% | 3% | +7.5 | -7.3 | +17.9 | -18.1 |