Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/9 Game 1
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+68.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +35.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -3.0 | +2.4 | -5.2 | +5.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 26% | 21% | 30% | +2.7 | +2.7 | -3.1 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 27% | 20% | 29% | 0.0 | +7.3 | -5.7 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 24% | 33% | 17% | 26% | -2.0 | +33.8 | -0.7 | -31.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 63% | 11% | 8% | -1.1 | -5.8 | +9.4 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 57% | 17% | 8% | -12.2 | -12.4 | +31.8 | -7.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 42% | 40% | 7% | -4.4 | -1.9 | -10.7 | +17.0 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 3,200 | 11% | 43% | 34% | 13% | -1.3 | -1.8 | +12.4 | -9.4 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,500 from Shiratori Sho | 10% | 40% | 44% | 7% | +7.1 | -0.6 | +1.3 | -7.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 38% | 45% | 4% | +33.3 | -10.2 | -14.8 | -8.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 36% | 30% | 30% | 3% | +3.4 | +2.0 | -2.6 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,300 from Shiratori Sho | 39% | 31% | 27% | 3% | +0.2 | -1.5 | +4.8 | -3.5 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,900 | 40% | 28% | 30% | 2% | -7.2 | +16.0 | -5.5 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 30% | 44% | 26% | 1% | +35.2 | -33.9 | -1.1 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 4,000 | 76% | 7% | 16% | 1% | +13.5 | -4.9 | -7.0 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 2,700 | 97% | 1% | 2% | 0% | +3.8 | -5.4 | +5.4 | -3.8 |