Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/9 Game 1
Makoto Sawazaki finished 1st (+68.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Makoto Sawazaki ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Makoto Sawazaki's expected points by +35.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 23% | 27% | 25% | -3.0 | +2.7 | -7.1 | +7.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 25% | 21% | 31% | +1.5 | +3.8 | -2.1 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Saki Kurosawa | 24% | 28% | 20% | 28% | +1.9 | +6.4 | -8.2 | -0.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 26% | 32% | 14% | 28% | -1.1 | +32.7 | +2.7 | -34.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 59% | 13% | 8% | -3.7 | -3.8 | +8.9 | -1.3 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 57% | 17% | 9% | -10.2 | -11.2 | +30.7 | -9.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 43% | 40% | 5% | -5.1 | -1.8 | -10.9 | +17.8 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 3,200 | 12% | 44% | 32% | 12% | -2.1 | -1.3 | +14.0 | -10.5 |
| South 1 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 1,500 from Sho Shiratori | 10% | 41% | 45% | 5% | +6.9 | -0.4 | -1.4 | -5.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 40% | 43% | 4% | +34.7 | -13.8 | -13.5 | -7.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 38% | 28% | 30% | 4% | +4.9 | +3.3 | -3.1 | -5.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,300 from Sho Shiratori | 42% | 29% | 26% | 2% | -2.5 | +0.2 | +5.0 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,900 | 39% | 29% | 30% | 2% | -5.6 | +15.3 | -5.5 | -4.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 31% | 45% | 24% | 1% | +35.1 | -34.9 | -1.0 | +0.8 |
| South 3 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 4,000 | 79% | 6% | 14% | 1% | +12.3 | -3.8 | -7.5 | -1.1 |
| South 4 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 2,700 | 97% | 1% | 1% | 1% | +3.8 | -6.0 | +6.4 | -4.2 |