Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/9 Game 2
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in South 1: Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +36.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +7.0 | -3.0 | -1.5 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 23% | 24% | 23% | +3.6 | +3.5 | -9.2 | +2.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 24% | 18% | 24% | -14.0 | -7.1 | -2.7 | +23.9 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 21% | 20% | 17% | 42% | -2.4 | -1.9 | -2.1 | +6.4 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 17% | 15% | 50% | +25.8 | -4.4 | -14.1 | -7.2 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 1,500 from Aiko Hinata | 39% | 14% | 8% | 40% | -4.3 | -1.7 | +1.8 | +4.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 34% | 12% | 9% | 45% | -12.7 | +2.9 | -2.7 | +12.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 22% | 13% | 6% | 59% | +12.8 | -13.7 | +2.0 | -1.0 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura | 28% | 7% | 7% | 58% | +36.9 | +0.1 | -0.8 | -36.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 76% | 6% | 5% | 14% | +1.4 | -3.7 | -1.5 | +3.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 76% | 5% | 4% | 15% | -0.7 | +0.3 | +3.3 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 3,200 from Aiko Hinata | 78% | 4% | 5% | 12% | -6.1 | -4.9 | -4.5 | +15.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 72% | 1% | 3% | 24% | -5.4 | -3.9 | +3.5 | +5.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 63% | 1% | 5% | 32% | -2.6 | +3.2 | +1.3 | -1.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 1,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 61% | 2% | 6% | 32% | +13.6 | -7.0 | -2.8 | -3.7 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 83% | 0% | 0% | 17% | +7.1 | -18.6 | +19.8 | -8.4 |