Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

1/9 Game 2

Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in South 1: Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +37.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance	Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance	Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance	Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance	Hinata Aiko Expected pt change	Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change	Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change	Asakura Koshin Expected pt change
East 1	Draw	27%	25%	26%	22%	+5.0	-0.1	-3.0	-1.9
East 1, 1 honba	Draw	30%	25%	23%	22%	+5.8	-1.0	-8.3	+3.5
East 1, 2 honba	Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000	35%	23%	19%	24%	-15.9	-3.3	-4.3	+23.5
East 2	Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko	21%	21%	15%	43%	-4.0	-3.6	-1.3	+8.9
East 3	Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000	18%	17%	15%	51%	+26.9	-6.3	-13.3	-7.3
East 4	Asakura Koshin ron 1,500 from Hinata Aiko	37%	13%	8%	41%	-4.4	+1.9	-0.4	+2.9
East 4, 1 honba	Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko	32%	14%	8%	46%	-12.9	-0.2	+1.4	+11.7
East 4, 2 honba	Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto	21%	12%	8%	58%	+12.5	-11.7	-1.4	+0.6
South 1	Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin	28%	8%	6%	59%	+37.9	-1.7	+0.9	-37.1
South 1, 1 honba	Draw	75%	5%	5%	15%	+2.6	-3.1	-3.0	+3.5
South 1, 2 honba	Draw	77%	4%	4%	15%	-2.2	+0.4	+3.2	-1.4
South 2, 3 honba	Asakura Koshin ron 3,200 from Hinata Aiko	78%	4%	5%	14%	-5.9	-5.9	-2.3	+14.0
South 3	Draw	72%	0%	4%	24%	-5.4	-3.9	+4.6	+4.7
South 3, 1 honba	Draw	62%	1%	6%	31%	-3.2	+5.2	-1.3	-0.7
South 3, 2 honba	Hinata Aiko ron 1,000 from Sawazaki Makoto	59%	2%	6%	33%	+15.1	-7.7	-2.7	-4.7
South 4	Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto	85%	0%	0%	15%	+6.2	-18.6	+19.9	-7.5

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)