Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

1/10 Game 1

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+74.5pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +32.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Yuumi Uotani● Saki Kurosawa● Sho Shiratori● Kenji Katsumata0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Yuumi● Saki● Sho● Kenji
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSaki Kurosawa
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Saki Kurosawa
Expected pt change
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
East 1Saki Kurosawa tsumo 3,90026%24%24%27%+7.7-1.2-3.9-2.6
East 1, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani tsumo 12,00031%23%21%24%-17.1-7.8-7.7+32.7
East 2Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori17%17%16%50%+0.9-21.5+0.9+19.7
East 3Exhaustive draw13%5%13%69%+0.4+0.2-2.8+2.2
East 4, 1 honbaSaki Kurosawa tsumo 5,20013%5%10%73%+15.9-4.6-3.9-7.4
South 1Saki Kurosawa ron 5,800 from Yuumi Uotani22%4%8%66%+16.3+0.3-2.1-14.5
South 1, 1 honbaKenji Katsumata tsumo 2,00040%5%8%47%-2.7-3.2+7.0-1.1
South 2Kenji Katsumata ron 6,400 from Saki Kurosawa38%4%12%46%-25.2-6.8+22.5+9.5
South 3Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa15%1%21%64%-23.7+0.9-2.0+24.8
South 4Yuumi Uotani ron 9,600 from Saki Kurosawa0%0%3%97%-23.1+11.2+0.3+11.5
South 4, 1 honbaKenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori0%0%0%100%-6.2+2.9+4.3-1.0

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)