Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

1/10 Game 2

Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +41.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Masato Hagiwara● Yoshihiro Matsumoto● Kazunori Takizawa● Yuumi Uotani0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Masato● Yoshihiro● Kazunori● Yuumi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYoshihiro Matsumoto
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
East 1Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,70024%25%25%25%-2.9-2.4+7.4-2.2
East 2Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto22%24%30%23%-11.2-1.2+13.2-0.8
East 3Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara15%22%42%21%+26.6-0.1-26.6+0.1
East 4Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto34%22%21%23%-37.6-0.4+41.4-3.4
South 1Exhaustive draw9%17%59%15%-5.5+0.6+3.1+1.9
South 2, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto4%16%63%17%-19.0-7.5+1.0+25.5
South 3Exhaustive draw1%8%63%29%-2.0-3.9+1.2+4.7
South 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%3%67%29%-1.6-2.0+1.6+2.0
South 4, 2 honbaMasato Hagiwara ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa0%3%67%30%-0.9-3.7+16.5-11.9

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)