Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/10 Game 2
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +41.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,700 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -2.9 | -2.4 | +7.4 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 22% | 24% | 30% | 23% | -11.2 | -1.2 | +13.2 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 15% | 22% | 42% | 21% | +26.6 | -0.1 | -26.6 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 34% | 22% | 21% | 23% | -37.6 | -0.4 | +41.4 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 17% | 59% | 15% | -5.5 | +0.6 | +3.1 | +1.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 4% | 16% | 63% | 17% | -19.0 | -7.5 | +1.0 | +25.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 8% | 63% | 29% | -2.0 | -3.9 | +1.2 | +4.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 3% | 67% | 29% | -1.6 | -2.0 | +1.6 | +2.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 3% | 67% | 30% | -0.9 | -3.7 | +16.5 | -11.9 |