Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/10 Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +40.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,700 | 27% | 23% | 24% | 25% | -8.1 | +0.1 | +12.4 | -4.4 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 21% | 25% | 33% | 22% | -7.8 | -3.2 | +11.8 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 16% | 20% | 43% | 20% | +25.0 | +2.1 | -28.3 | +1.1 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 33% | 23% | 21% | 22% | -37.3 | -0.3 | +40.6 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 8% | 19% | 58% | 15% | -6.1 | +0.7 | +5.0 | +0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 3% | 18% | 64% | 15% | -18.6 | -7.0 | -1.5 | +27.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 8% | 60% | 31% | -2.1 | -4.4 | +2.5 | +4.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 4% | 67% | 30% | -1.1 | -3.1 | +2.0 | +2.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 2% | 68% | 30% | -1.2 | -3.0 | +16.4 | -12.2 |