Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/13 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 7 honba: Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +59.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,600 from Hisato Sasaki | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -1.1 | +6.1 | -6.2 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 29% | 22% | 26% | -9.6 | +32.5 | -12.8 | -10.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 14% | 57% | 12% | 17% | +7.0 | -2.4 | -2.3 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 55% | 12% | 15% | -3.4 | +6.4 | -3.7 | +0.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 62% | 9% | 15% | +3.3 | -0.9 | -3.7 | +1.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 61% | 8% | 15% | +19.7 | -3.6 | -5.6 | -10.5 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 29% | 57% | 6% | 8% | -2.7 | +7.5 | -2.7 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 67% | 4% | 8% | -11.4 | +23.2 | -4.8 | -7.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 93% | 2% | 2% | +6.5 | -0.9 | -4.1 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 94% | 1% | 2% | -0.9 | -1.0 | +4.6 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 93% | 1% | 1% | -6.0 | +1.7 | +0.3 | +3.9 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 95% | 1% | 2% | -1.8 | +1.3 | +4.1 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 2% | 96% | 1% | 1% | -6.2 | -25.6 | +39.7 | -7.9 |
| South 3, 6 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 71% | 16% | 4% | +5.4 | +3.1 | -5.2 | -3.3 |
| South 4, 7 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 11% | 78% | 8% | 3% | -12.7 | -30.3 | +59.6 | -16.6 |