Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/13 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 7 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +59.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -0.1 | +2.9 | -3.3 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 27% | 22% | 27% | -11.0 | +34.3 | -11.2 | -12.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 15% | 55% | 15% | 15% | +6.6 | -1.5 | -6.0 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 54% | 12% | 16% | -2.8 | +7.1 | -4.0 | -0.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 62% | 8% | 16% | +3.1 | -2.5 | -2.2 | +1.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 60% | 9% | 16% | +20.3 | -2.5 | -6.1 | -11.7 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 30% | 56% | 6% | 8% | -4.2 | +9.8 | -3.2 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 70% | 3% | 6% | -10.4 | +21.2 | -5.2 | -5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 92% | 2% | 2% | +5.2 | -0.7 | -3.4 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 3% | 94% | 1% | 2% | -0.5 | -1.5 | +4.8 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 4% | 93% | 2% | 2% | -5.3 | +2.2 | +0.5 | +2.6 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Draw | 2% | 95% | 2% | 1% | -2.6 | +0.8 | +5.6 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 2% | 95% | 2% | 1% | -5.7 | -25.2 | +38.5 | -7.6 |
| South 3, 6 honba | Draw | 9% | 71% | 17% | 3% | +5.8 | +3.6 | -6.1 | -3.3 |
| South 4, 7 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 11% | 79% | 7% | 3% | -13.0 | -30.8 | +59.8 | -16.0 |