Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/13 Game 2
Fujisaki Satoshi finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Fujisaki Satoshi's expected points by +39.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 25% | 23% | 26% | 27% | -2.2 | +9.8 | -1.0 | -6.7 |
| East 2 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 31% | 24% | 22% | -6.4 | -20.3 | +35.2 | -8.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 17% | 14% | 54% | 14% | -2.2 | -0.2 | +1.7 | +0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 14% | 56% | 15% | +29.0 | -8.1 | -14.0 | -6.9 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 37% | 11% | 40% | 12% | -1.1 | +3.5 | +4.9 | -7.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 33% | 13% | 46% | 8% | -0.1 | +3.5 | -2.0 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,600 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 34% | 13% | 44% | 8% | +18.9 | -5.4 | -10.6 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 12,000 | 61% | 7% | 27% | 6% | -24.6 | -9.1 | +39.9 | -6.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 1% | 82% | 3% | +2.9 | +2.6 | -1.7 | -3.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 14% | 0% | 83% | 3% | -3.0 | -30.8 | -1.8 | +35.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 11% | 0% | 80% | 9% | -3.6 | +1.6 | -1.7 | +3.7 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 9% | 0% | 80% | 11% | +1.6 | -3.8 | +12.9 | -10.8 |