Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/13 Game 2
Satoshi Fujisaki finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Satoshi Fujisaki's expected points by +39.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -1.5 | +7.6 | -0.6 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 32% | 24% | 21% | -8.4 | -21.3 | +38.3 | -8.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 14% | 56% | 14% | -1.8 | +0.9 | -0.2 | +1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 14% | 56% | 15% | +27.8 | -8.0 | -13.2 | -6.6 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 35% | 11% | 41% | 13% | +2.6 | +0.9 | +2.8 | -6.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 11% | 44% | 9% | -3.3 | +5.0 | +1.8 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,600 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 33% | 12% | 47% | 8% | +19.0 | -5.2 | -11.7 | -2.2 |
| South 3 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 12,000 | 60% | 6% | 28% | 6% | -23.6 | -8.6 | +39.0 | -6.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 1% | 82% | 3% | +3.3 | +2.7 | -2.7 | -3.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 16% | 1% | 80% | 3% | -5.2 | -30.9 | -0.5 | +36.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 0% | 81% | 10% | -1.8 | +1.4 | -2.9 | +3.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 10% | 0% | 78% | 12% | +1.0 | -3.7 | +13.8 | -11.0 |