Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/14 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+90.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +38.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +5.5 | -1.1 | -0.4 | -3.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 7,800 | 29% | 26% | 23% | 23% | +23.3 | -10.5 | -6.6 | -6.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 3,900 | 48% | 16% | 18% | 18% | +10.8 | -1.9 | -4.9 | -3.9 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Draw | 57% | 15% | 14% | 14% | +1.9 | -1.2 | -2.6 | +1.9 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 59% | 14% | 13% | 14% | -1.8 | +23.4 | +0.7 | -22.4 |
| East 2 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 2,000 | 56% | 25% | 13% | 6% | +8.1 | -2.9 | -2.6 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 66% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 0.0 | -29.0 | +29.3 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 65% | 7% | 23% | 5% | +1.0 | -3.7 | +4.2 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 66% | 5% | 25% | 4% | +4.6 | 0.0 | -33.6 | +29.0 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 76% | 6% | 7% | 12% | -9.7 | -9.1 | -10.3 | +29.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 61% | 4% | 5% | 30% | -5.1 | -1.8 | +0.6 | +6.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 53% | 4% | 6% | 37% | +22.3 | +2.5 | -17.7 | -7.1 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 78% | 2% | 1% | 18% | 0.0 | +5.9 | -5.4 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Maruyama Kanako ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 81% | 3% | 1% | 15% | +13.3 | -15.3 | +2.9 | -0.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 93% | 0% | 0% | 6% | -1.9 | -2.3 | +2.2 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 91% | 0% | 1% | 9% | -8.9 | +2.1 | -14.8 | +21.6 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 76% | 0% | 0% | 24% | -26.1 | +3.5 | -15.5 | +38.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 89% | -8.4 | -4.2 | -4.1 | +16.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.2 | -1.0 | +8.7 | -5.4 |