Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/14 Game 2
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+66.4pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Koshin Asakura tsumo 4,000, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +25.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +31.9 | -8.8 | -10.5 | -12.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 2,700 | 50% | 17% | 16% | 16% | -8.2 | -2.9 | -1.1 | +12.2 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Ken Sonoda | 42% | 17% | 17% | 24% | +3.3 | -6.5 | -0.2 | +3.4 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 47% | 11% | 16% | 26% | +0.1 | +1.8 | -20.8 | +18.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 45% | 11% | 6% | 38% | -0.8 | +5.4 | -4.3 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 13% | 6% | 38% | -3.1 | +7.0 | -3.6 | -0.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 4,000 | 40% | 17% | 4% | 39% | -11.3 | -9.8 | -4.3 | +25.4 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 20% | 5% | 2% | 73% | +14.0 | -10.7 | -3.8 | +0.5 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 7,800 | 27% | 0% | 0% | 72% | -11.7 | -2.6 | -2.8 | +17.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 5% | 0% | 0% | 96% | -3.8 | +5.5 | -2.6 | +0.9 |