Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/14 Game 2
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+66.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +23.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +29.2 | -8.2 | -11.1 | -10.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 2,700 | 47% | 18% | 18% | 18% | -6.1 | -2.5 | -2.0 | +10.6 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 42% | 17% | 17% | 24% | +2.7 | -4.5 | -0.5 | +2.4 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 45% | 13% | 17% | 25% | -0.4 | -0.4 | -23.2 | +23.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 41% | 11% | 6% | 42% | +0.5 | +3.9 | -1.1 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 42% | 13% | 6% | 39% | -3.7 | +9.0 | -5.1 | -0.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 4,000 | 39% | 17% | 4% | 40% | -8.8 | -11.4 | -2.6 | +22.8 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 22% | 5% | 3% | 70% | +12.4 | -9.4 | -5.3 | +2.2 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 7,800 | 28% | 0% | 0% | 72% | -11.9 | -2.9 | -2.6 | +17.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 4% | 0% | 0% | 96% | -3.6 | +5.6 | -2.7 | +0.8 |