Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

1/16 Game 1

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+57.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +35.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Yuumi Uotani● Takaharu Ooi● Hisato Sasaki● Kenji Katsumata0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Yuumi● Takaharu● Hisato● Kenji
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
East 1Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata28%25%24%24%-3.1-1.1+6.1-1.9
East 2Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki23%24%28%24%+0.3-2.1-19.8+21.5
East 3Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,00022%20%18%39%-1.9+13.9-9.4-2.7
East 4Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,00021%32%11%37%-8.1-3.8+25.6-13.8
South 1Yuumi Uotani tsumo 6,00017%30%26%27%+24.3-7.6-9.8-6.9
South 1, 1 honbaHisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani36%24%19%21%-13.4-0.1+12.7+0.7
South 2Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi24%25%28%23%+35.5-35.20.0-0.3
South 3Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,00061%3%20%17%+2.2+36.1-27.1-11.1
South 4Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,20069%12%4%14%+19.4+3.2+3.0-25.6

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)