Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

1/16 Game 1

Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+57.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +37.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Uotani Yuumi● Ooi Takaharu● Sasaki Hisato● Katsumata Kenji0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Uotani● Ooi● Sasaki● Katsumata
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultUotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
East 1Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji26%25%24%25%-1.2-1.4+8.4-5.8
East 2Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato25%25%30%20%-2.0-1.5-21.7+25.2
East 3Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,00022%22%16%40%-0.6+13.5-10.6-2.3
East 4Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,00022%31%10%37%-7.6-3.9+25.0-13.5
South 1Uotani Yuumi tsumo 6,00019%29%25%27%+24.6-7.2-10.3-7.2
South 1, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi37%24%17%22%-16.2+0.8+15.7-0.3
South 2Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu23%25%28%23%+37.0-34.7-2.2-0.1
South 3Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,00061%3%18%17%+2.9+34.4-26.6-10.7
South 4Uotani Yuumi tsumo 5,20071%12%4%14%+18.5+3.7+3.6-25.8

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)