Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/17 Game 1
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +37.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -23.9 | +0.5 | +21.9 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 11% | 24% | 40% | 26% | +24.2 | -5.4 | -20.0 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 20% | 27% | 27% | -1.7 | +0.5 | -9.2 | +10.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 25% | 21% | 19% | 35% | +2.0 | -5.2 | -3.7 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 17% | 17% | 40% | -4.1 | -7.2 | +26.3 | -15.0 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 15% | 35% | 27% | +37.5 | -10.8 | -13.6 | -13.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 56% | 9% | 20% | 15% | +1.9 | +24.7 | -26.8 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 62% | 16% | 8% | 15% | -17.4 | +39.1 | -9.7 | -12.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 53% | 5% | 8% | -3.9 | -11.4 | -8.2 | +23.5 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 33% | 42% | 4% | 22% | +28.0 | -10.2 | -10.0 | -7.8 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 72% | 17% | 0% | 12% | +13.5 | -3.0 | +0.1 | -10.6 |