Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/17 Game 1
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +36.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -21.8 | -0.3 | +22.2 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 12% | 24% | 40% | 23% | +23.8 | -3.2 | -22.3 | +1.8 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 23% | 24% | 27% | -2.8 | -2.9 | -7.8 | +13.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 20% | 18% | 37% | +3.3 | -4.1 | -3.5 | +4.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 17% | 17% | 41% | -3.7 | -8.0 | +25.6 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 13% | 35% | 28% | +36.3 | -8.7 | -13.5 | -14.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 57% | 9% | 19% | 15% | +1.9 | +24.7 | -27.8 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 61% | 17% | 7% | 14% | -19.0 | +39.3 | -8.3 | -12.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 56% | 4% | 8% | -3.5 | -13.2 | -6.3 | +23.0 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 5,200 | 31% | 41% | 5% | 23% | +29.0 | -11.0 | -11.0 | -7.1 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,100 | 72% | 15% | 0% | 13% | +13.4 | -1.8 | 0.0 | -11.7 |