Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/17 Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+54.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +62.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | -10.8 | -0.2 | -1.3 | +12.3 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 24% | 26% | 33% | -2.9 | +7.3 | -1.2 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 6,000 | 16% | 29% | 24% | 30% | -6.3 | +18.4 | -6.1 | -5.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 44% | 19% | 25% | -1.4 | -7.2 | -1.4 | +10.0 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 12% | 37% | 19% | 32% | -0.9 | +1.2 | -2.4 | +2.1 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 39% | 15% | 34% | -6.5 | -3.4 | +23.5 | -13.6 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 9% | 37% | 32% | 23% | +37.1 | -37.0 | +0.4 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 31% | 12% | 33% | 23% | -3.4 | +25.5 | +2.8 | -25.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 27% | 35% | 11% | +0.9 | -5.1 | -2.0 | +6.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 5,200 | 29% | 22% | 34% | 16% | -2.4 | -7.6 | -9.1 | +19.1 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 31% | 22% | 24% | 23% | +1.4 | +62.3 | -47.6 | -16.0 |