Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/17 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+54.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +62.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 26% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -11.0 | -1.2 | +0.4 | +11.8 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 23% | 25% | 33% | -4.0 | +10.9 | -4.5 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 6,000 | 16% | 31% | 22% | 31% | -4.3 | +14.8 | -4.0 | -6.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 43% | 20% | 25% | -1.6 | -3.2 | -1.6 | +6.4 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 13% | 40% | 18% | 30% | -1.5 | -0.1 | -2.0 | +3.6 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 40% | 16% | 32% | -6.2 | -5.0 | +24.1 | -12.9 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 8% | 36% | 33% | 23% | +35.6 | -37.4 | +1.8 | +0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 29% | 12% | 35% | 23% | -0.3 | +26.4 | +0.8 | -27.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 27% | 27% | 36% | 10% | -0.2 | -6.5 | -2.4 | +9.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 22% | 32% | 16% | -5.6 | -6.9 | -7.4 | +19.9 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 28% | 21% | 28% | 23% | +3.7 | +62.7 | -48.9 | -17.5 |