Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/19 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+67.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -5.9 | -3.3 | +2.8 | +6.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 23% | 25% | 30% | -7.6 | -17.9 | -6.6 | +32.1 |
| East 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 10% | 19% | 58% | -10.7 | -8.2 | +31.1 | -12.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,600 from Yudai Maehara | 9% | 8% | 42% | 42% | +0.3 | -0.2 | -9.4 | +9.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 7% | 32% | 53% | -2.7 | -3.2 | +11.1 | -5.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 5% | 43% | 46% | -14.0 | -4.8 | +30.9 | -12.1 |
| South 2 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 2% | 79% | 19% | -0.3 | -9.3 | +15.7 | -6.1 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | +8.7 | -5.7 | -2.7 | -0.3 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -6.0 | -6.2 | -17.4 | +29.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 2,600 from Yudai Maehara | 0% | 0% | 67% | 33% | +6.7 | -3.4 | -29.1 | +25.8 |