Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/19 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +26.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 23% | 26% | -6.3 | +2.8 | +5.4 | -1.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 21% | 27% | 28% | 25% | -7.3 | -1.6 | +8.7 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 16% | 25% | 34% | 25% | -19.1 | +26.5 | -4.4 | -3.0 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami ron 5,200 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 7% | 46% | 27% | 20% | -0.1 | +15.2 | +0.6 | -15.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 63% | 23% | 8% | -4.6 | +2.8 | +1.3 | +0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 2% | 68% | 22% | 8% | -14.9 | +0.4 | -1.0 | +15.5 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 71% | 18% | 11% | -3.5 | +10.7 | -4.3 | -2.9 |
| South 4 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 89% | 3% | 8% | -2.3 | +3.0 | +11.9 | -12.6 |