Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/19 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +25.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -6.4 | +5.1 | +5.1 | -3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 21% | 28% | 29% | 23% | -4.6 | -2.5 | +7.5 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 18% | 25% | 33% | 24% | -22.0 | +25.7 | -3.7 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun ron 5,200 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 7% | 46% | 26% | 20% | -0.9 | +15.0 | +2.8 | -16.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 5% | 62% | 24% | 9% | -3.2 | +3.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 2% | 69% | 21% | 8% | -15.5 | +1.0 | -1.5 | +16.0 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 73% | 15% | 12% | -3.4 | +9.1 | -3.6 | -2.0 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 87% | 4% | 9% | -2.2 | +3.9 | +12.0 | -13.6 |