Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/20 Game 1
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 18,000, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +45.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +8.0 | -0.3 | -2.6 | -5.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 18,000 | 31% | 26% | 22% | 21% | +45.5 | -17.5 | -14.5 | -13.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 70% | 10% | 10% | 11% | -9.0 | +0.9 | +10.3 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 62% | 11% | 16% | 11% | +0.2 | -21.8 | -0.3 | +21.8 |
| East 3 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 63% | 4% | 15% | 18% | +17.9 | -2.3 | -12.1 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 82% | 2% | 5% | 11% | -4.5 | +0.4 | +2.6 | +1.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 77% | 3% | 7% | 13% | +1.6 | +31.6 | -29.6 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 82% | 7% | 2% | 9% | -8.6 | +18.9 | -4.8 | -5.5 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 73% | 17% | 2% | 8% | +4.6 | -3.9 | -4.9 | +4.2 |
| South 3 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 1,100 | 82% | 9% | 1% | 8% | +7.0 | -1.3 | -3.8 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 93% | 2% | 0% | 5% | -0.1 | +16.3 | -2.4 | -13.9 |