Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/20 Game 1
Makoto Sawazaki finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 18,000, which moved Makoto Sawazaki's expected points by +45.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | +8.4 | -5.2 | -0.8 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 18,000 | 30% | 22% | 26% | 23% | +45.9 | -11.3 | -18.3 | -16.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 70% | 11% | 10% | 10% | -9.0 | -2.5 | +12.6 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 62% | 11% | 16% | 11% | +0.6 | -18.4 | 0.0 | +17.7 |
| East 3 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 5% | 16% | 17% | +18.4 | -4.1 | -12.6 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 83% | 2% | 5% | 11% | -4.8 | +0.6 | +1.9 | +2.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 78% | 2% | 6% | 13% | +3.0 | +30.5 | -29.5 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 83% | 7% | 2% | 9% | -9.9 | +20.3 | -4.6 | -5.8 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 73% | 17% | 1% | 8% | +4.2 | -3.4 | -5.3 | +4.5 |
| South 3 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 1,100 | 82% | 10% | 1% | 8% | +7.1 | -2.1 | -3.3 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 92% | 2% | 0% | 6% | +0.3 | +16.3 | -2.5 | -14.1 |