Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/20 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+62.5pt). The game was decided in East 2, 3 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +37.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +31.2 | -10.7 | -11.4 | -9.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 17% | 16% | 17% | -2.8 | -2.9 | -0.6 | +6.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 16% | 16% | 21% | -2.6 | +6.6 | -2.3 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 44% | 20% | 15% | 21% | -35.7 | -1.8 | +0.5 | +37.1 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 17% | 16% | 52% | -4.5 | -6.1 | -17.4 | +28.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 7% | 4% | 82% | -2.2 | -0.8 | -0.5 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,700 | 6% | 7% | 3% | 85% | +8.7 | -3.3 | -3.0 | -2.5 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 5% | 3% | 84% | -11.4 | -3.3 | -4.0 | +18.7 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | -6.1 | +25.5 | -3.7 | -15.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 9% | 2% | 88% | +7.1 | -6.2 | -3.5 | +2.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 3% | 1% | 95% | +1.9 | -2.8 | +2.9 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 3% | 2% | 94% | -3.8 | +4.3 | +2.3 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 5% | 2% | 91% | +29.4 | -14.7 | -13.4 | -1.2 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 6% | 1% | 0% | 94% | +1.0 | -3.3 | +0.9 | +1.4 |