Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/20 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+62.5pt). The game was decided in East 2, 3 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +38.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +30.3 | -10.4 | -10.0 | -9.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 16% | 17% | 17% | -3.1 | -1.9 | -1.4 | +6.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 46% | 16% | 17% | 21% | -2.7 | +7.9 | -2.5 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 42% | 22% | 17% | 20% | -31.9 | -3.2 | -2.9 | +38.0 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 17% | 14% | 52% | -8.1 | -5.9 | -14.6 | +28.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 7% | 8% | 5% | 81% | -2.0 | -0.9 | -1.6 | +4.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,700 | 6% | 7% | 3% | 84% | +10.4 | -4.9 | -1.8 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 5% | 3% | 83% | -12.5 | -1.5 | -4.8 | +18.8 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | -5.7 | +24.3 | -2.7 | -15.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 9% | 2% | 88% | +6.4 | -5.3 | -3.6 | +2.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 3% | 2% | 95% | +2.4 | -3.0 | +2.6 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 3% | 2% | 94% | -4.7 | +5.1 | +1.9 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 6% | 2% | 91% | +30.1 | -14.9 | -13.8 | -1.4 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 6% | 1% | 0% | 94% | +0.9 | -3.7 | +1.3 | +1.5 |