Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/21 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+51.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +27.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akira Wakutsu ron 5,800 from Ken Sonoda | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +16.5 | -14.1 | -0.2 | -2.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 5,800 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 38% | 16% | 23% | 23% | +15.6 | -1.4 | -15.6 | +1.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 51% | 13% | 14% | 22% | -2.0 | -0.2 | -8.5 | +10.7 |
| East 2 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 13% | 11% | 28% | -5.8 | -15.4 | +29.3 | -8.2 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 44% | 8% | 24% | 24% | -1.3 | -17.6 | -3.6 | +22.5 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 39% | 2% | 19% | 40% | -4.0 | +16.8 | -2.1 | -10.8 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 39% | 7% | 21% | 33% | -0.8 | +2.1 | -5.1 | +3.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 38% | 7% | 18% | 37% | -5.2 | +3.5 | +5.1 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 2,700 | 33% | 10% | 22% | 35% | -0.4 | -12.7 | +16.3 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 33% | 3% | 34% | 30% | -7.6 | -4.3 | -15.2 | +27.1 |
| South 4 | Akira Wakutsu ron 3,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 19% | 1% | 13% | 67% | +5.3 | -1.8 | -16.7 | +13.1 |