Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/21 Game 2
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+60.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kondo Seiichi ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +45.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari | 26% | 28% | 24% | 23% | +45.5 | -6.1 | -0.1 | -39.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 61% | 18% | 17% | 4% | -11.3 | -4.7 | -3.1 | +19.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 52% | 18% | 18% | 12% | -4.6 | +2.7 | +3.2 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 20% | 21% | 11% | -14.7 | +33.7 | -10.4 | -8.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 31% | 45% | 16% | 8% | +4.9 | -17.3 | +13.9 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 39% | 30% | 22% | 8% | -4.0 | -3.9 | +2.0 | +5.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 36% | 28% | 25% | 11% | -2.5 | -4.2 | +31.3 | -24.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 28% | 20% | 49% | 3% | +19.1 | -1.1 | -5.7 | -12.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 44% | 17% | 38% | 1% | -3.8 | -3.2 | +5.9 | +1.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 14% | 46% | 1% | -6.7 | -7.5 | -5.6 | +19.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 5,800 from Maruyama Kanako | 37% | 14% | 44% | 5% | +5.5 | -0.5 | -18.7 | +13.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 6,400 | 46% | 15% | 29% | 9% | -8.6 | +25.8 | -5.0 | -12.2 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 37% | 35% | 24% | 4% | +5.7 | +0.7 | -23.9 | +17.5 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Mizuhara Akina | 44% | 36% | 11% | 9% | +5.4 | -9.7 | -2.5 | +6.8 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 54% | 24% | 10% | 12% | +26.2 | -5.8 | -16.9 | -3.5 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 91% | 4% | 0% | 5% | +3.8 | +15.5 | +13.3 | -32.7 |