Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/21 Game 2
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+60.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Seiichi Kondo ron 18,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +45.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Seiichi Kondo ron 18,000 from Mari Takamiya | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +45.4 | -2.0 | -2.4 | -41.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 60% | 17% | 18% | 5% | -9.0 | -4.0 | -4.5 | +17.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 55% | 17% | 18% | 10% | -6.6 | +0.8 | +3.7 | +2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 18% | 21% | 13% | -14.0 | +36.5 | -11.9 | -10.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 33% | 45% | 14% | 8% | +5.7 | -18.9 | +15.2 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 29% | 22% | 9% | -4.7 | -1.6 | +2.3 | +4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 37% | 29% | 24% | 10% | -4.2 | -3.7 | +30.2 | -22.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 28% | 22% | 47% | 3% | +20.2 | -2.7 | -4.2 | -13.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 17% | 39% | 1% | -4.0 | -3.8 | +5.4 | +2.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 15% | 45% | 1% | -7.7 | -6.6 | -4.3 | +18.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 5,800 from Kanako Maruyama | 36% | 14% | 45% | 5% | +5.5 | +0.8 | -20.2 | +14.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 6,400 | 46% | 17% | 28% | 9% | -5.7 | +22.4 | -4.5 | -12.2 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 39% | 33% | 25% | 4% | +3.0 | +2.1 | -23.4 | +18.3 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Akina Mizuhara | 45% | 35% | 12% | 9% | +7.0 | -9.4 | -4.2 | +6.6 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 55% | 23% | 11% | 11% | +24.6 | -6.2 | -15.5 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 90% | 4% | 0% | 6% | +4.3 | +15.7 | +13.2 | -33.3 |