Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/23 Game 1
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+53.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +38.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | -11.4 | -7.3 | +26.2 | -7.5 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 6,400 from Koshin Asakura | 16% | 19% | 46% | 18% | -2.6 | -17.2 | -0.6 | +20.4 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 13% | 9% | 45% | 32% | +26.5 | -0.9 | +0.3 | -26.0 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 29% | 10% | 46% | 15% | +12.2 | -1.0 | +2.3 | -13.5 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Seiichi Kondo | 38% | 8% | 47% | 7% | +2.7 | +16.8 | -14.1 | -5.4 |
| South 2 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 16% | 32% | 6% | -15.8 | +38.9 | -15.5 | -7.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 26% | 50% | 19% | 5% | +5.4 | -8.7 | -3.6 | +6.9 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 33% | 42% | 18% | 7% | -3.6 | +21.0 | -16.7 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 74% | 2% | 6% | -3.6 | +10.7 | +5.6 | -12.7 |