Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/23 Game 1
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+53.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +40.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -14.7 | -2.2 | +26.5 | -9.6 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 6,400 from Asakura Koshin | 14% | 20% | 47% | 18% | +0.4 | -20.0 | +0.9 | +18.7 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 14% | 10% | 46% | 30% | +24.9 | -0.5 | +0.3 | -24.7 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 28% | 9% | 47% | 16% | +12.3 | +1.7 | +0.3 | -14.4 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Kondo Seiichi | 39% | 9% | 45% | 7% | +2.4 | +14.3 | -14.1 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 45% | 16% | 31% | 7% | -16.5 | +40.1 | -14.8 | -8.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 26% | 50% | 19% | 5% | +5.4 | -10.4 | -3.7 | +8.7 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 34% | 39% | 19% | 8% | -1.3 | +20.7 | -16.0 | -3.4 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 71% | 3% | 5% | -5.4 | +12.5 | +5.1 | -12.2 |