Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/23 Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +68.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +3.5 | -2.2 | +0.7 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -4.7 | +2.7 | +3.4 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 27% | 27% | 22% | -6.1 | +16.0 | -4.2 | -5.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 39% | 25% | 18% | -6.7 | -12.1 | +24.3 | -5.5 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 27% | 44% | 15% | -5.8 | +34.7 | -21.6 | -7.3 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 61% | 19% | 10% | +33.5 | -7.9 | -7.5 | -18.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 28% | 51% | 17% | 4% | +5.4 | -4.5 | -5.3 | +4.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 35% | 45% | 15% | 5% | -2.2 | +4.9 | -15.8 | +13.1 |
| South 2 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 53% | 7% | 9% | -6.5 | -26.7 | -10.4 | +43.6 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,000 | 30% | 26% | 6% | 39% | -21.3 | -23.9 | +68.5 | -23.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 10% | 57% | 19% | -7.0 | -5.4 | +17.6 | -5.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,500 | 5% | 4% | 81% | 11% | -6.6 | +15.4 | +1.7 | -10.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 1% | 4% | 88% | 8% | -6.0 | +5.7 | -3.7 | +4.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,400 | 2% | 7% | 82% | 9% | -13.0 | +13.8 | +6.3 | -7.2 |