Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/24 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +29.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | -11.7 | +12.0 | -0.6 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 16% | 34% | 24% | 26% | +0.2 | +29.9 | -29.1 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 13% | 58% | 9% | 21% | +5.6 | -7.0 | -0.8 | +2.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 52% | 10% | 23% | +6.7 | +1.5 | -4.9 | -3.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 53% | 6% | 21% | -1.0 | +5.1 | +2.3 | -6.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,900 from Aiko Hinata | 18% | 61% | 6% | 15% | +15.4 | -1.4 | -1.9 | -12.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 28% | 58% | 5% | 9% | +3.0 | -11.7 | +11.1 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 35% | 45% | 9% | 10% | -12.6 | +22.3 | -5.0 | -4.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 2,700 | 15% | 74% | 5% | 6% | -2.2 | -0.9 | +8.2 | -5.1 |
| South 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 5,200 from Makoto Sawazaki | 11% | 77% | 7% | 5% | -10.6 | +7.3 | -8.2 | +11.4 |
| South 4 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 3,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 1% | 92% | 1% | 6% | +13.6 | +3.6 | -17.2 | -0.1 |