Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/24 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+59.9pt). The game was decided in East 2: Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +26.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +1.4 | -9.7 | -1.4 | +9.7 |
| East 2 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 25% | 18% | 25% | 32% | -3.0 | -24.5 | +1.1 | +26.4 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 18% | 5% | 22% | 55% | +0.8 | -1.2 | -3.1 | +3.5 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 2,100 | 18% | 5% | 17% | 60% | -2.6 | -0.8 | -2.1 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 5% | 15% | 66% | +0.3 | -2.0 | -3.5 | +5.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 4% | 12% | 70% | +14.3 | -4.5 | -2.9 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 3% | 11% | 64% | -6.1 | +4.1 | -1.4 | +3.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 15% | 4% | 10% | 71% | +14.7 | -12.1 | -2.1 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 24% | 0% | 7% | 68% | -0.3 | +31.0 | -37.2 | +6.6 |
| South 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 17% | 1% | 0% | 82% | -18.0 | -19.7 | +31.3 | +6.4 |