Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/27 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+57.4pt). The game was decided in South 2: Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +39.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 24% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -14.2 | +17.3 | -1.4 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 37% | 24% | 23% | -8.2 | -13.2 | -3.8 | +25.3 |
| East 3 | Yudai Maehara ron 8,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 11% | 25% | 20% | 44% | +1.3 | +0.5 | -23.9 | +22.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 20% | 5% | 66% | -3.5 | +1.4 | +4.5 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 8% | 21% | 8% | 64% | -23.9 | -2.1 | +22.8 | +3.2 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 17% | 13% | 70% | -5.4 | +39.1 | -13.9 | -19.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 59% | 7% | 34% | -4.9 | +0.2 | +5.3 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Yudai Maehara ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 61% | 8% | 31% | -4.2 | +3.9 | -6.5 | +6.8 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 67% | 0% | 32% | +12.0 | +10.5 | -3.1 | -19.4 |