Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/27 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +45.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 26% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -1.9 | +21.9 | -20.3 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 1,100 | 23% | 39% | 14% | 24% | -0.3 | -1.7 | -0.8 | +2.8 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 38% | 14% | 27% | +24.3 | -4.5 | -14.1 | -5.7 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 41% | 31% | 6% | 21% | -2.6 | +21.6 | -14.8 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 7,800 | 32% | 52% | 2% | 14% | +20.4 | -9.9 | -3.2 | -7.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 56% | 34% | 2% | 8% | -8.3 | -1.1 | +12.9 | -3.5 |
| South 2 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 3,900 from Murakami Jun | 50% | 38% | 4% | 9% | +6.9 | -14.8 | -2.2 | +10.1 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,800 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 64% | 20% | 3% | 13% | +1.1 | +1.8 | +16.6 | -19.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 67% | 21% | 7% | 6% | +8.8 | +1.1 | -7.4 | -2.6 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 81% | 14% | 0% | 4% | -34.2 | +45.2 | +7.4 | -18.4 |