Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/27 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +46.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -2.7 | +20.2 | -18.9 | +1.4 |
| East 2 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 1,100 | 22% | 41% | 13% | 24% | +2.1 | -1.9 | -3.4 | +3.2 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 39% | 12% | 26% | +22.2 | -5.6 | -10.9 | -5.8 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 42% | 30% | 7% | 21% | -4.1 | +24.1 | -16.6 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 7,800 | 31% | 54% | 2% | 13% | +20.9 | -10.5 | -4.0 | -6.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 55% | 36% | 1% | 8% | -6.8 | -2.2 | +14.0 | -5.1 |
| South 2 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 3,900 from Jun Murakami | 50% | 37% | 4% | 9% | +7.2 | -14.1 | -3.5 | +10.4 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,800 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 64% | 20% | 3% | 13% | +1.1 | +1.8 | +17.4 | -20.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 66% | 22% | 6% | 6% | +9.3 | -0.6 | -7.1 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 83% | 12% | 0% | 5% | -34.5 | +46.4 | +7.3 | -19.1 |