Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/28 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+50.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Draw, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 23% | 27% | +0.5 | -3.1 | +7.5 | -4.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 26% | 22% | 29% | 23% | +5.4 | +0.5 | -6.9 | +1.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 30% | 23% | 24% | 23% | -9.5 | +16.8 | -4.9 | -2.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 35% | 22% | 22% | -3.2 | -5.5 | +6.2 | +2.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 20% | 30% | 26% | 24% | -0.9 | +10.1 | -7.7 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 40% | 19% | 23% | -11.6 | -13.7 | -10.9 | +36.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 24% | 12% | 53% | +25.0 | -4.5 | -6.1 | -14.4 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 23% | 11% | 38% | -15.9 | +26.9 | -7.2 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 46% | 7% | 33% | -2.1 | -4.7 | -2.5 | +9.3 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 40% | 7% | 42% | +15.4 | +5.7 | -14.1 | -6.9 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 20% | 51% | 1% | 29% | -5.7 | -14.9 | -1.0 | +21.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 23% | 0% | 64% | -10.4 | +37.8 | +0.8 | -28.2 |