Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

1/28 Game 2

Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+65.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +46.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance	Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance	Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance	Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance	Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change	Okada Sayaka Expected pt change	Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change	Asakura Koshin Expected pt change
East 1	Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro	25%	25%	26%	25%	+29.9	+0.4	-27.5	-2.8
East 1, 1 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000	47%	22%	11%	20%	-9.1	-7.1	+17.8	-1.5
East 2	Asakura Koshin tsumo 5,200	41%	20%	18%	21%	-2.7	-6.5	-4.9	+14.1
East 3	Draw	38%	15%	17%	30%	+2.4	-9.6	+3.7	+3.4
East 3, 1 honba	Asakura Koshin tsumo 5,200	40%	10%	18%	32%	-3.5	-1.9	-12.4	+17.8
East 4	Draw	33%	9%	9%	48%	+3.2	+4.0	-2.5	-4.7
South 1, 1 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,100	37%	10%	9%	44%	-2.8	-4.0	+3.8	+3.1
South 2	Okada Sayaka tsumo 3,900	32%	9%	10%	49%	-1.7	+10.9	-6.0	-3.2
South 2, 1 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka	33%	14%	8%	46%	-0.1	-28.6	+24.9	+3.8
South 3	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka	31%	2%	17%	50%	-10.2	-17.8	+40.7	-12.7
South 3, 1 honba	Draw	17%	0%	56%	27%	-0.8	-1.3	+0.5	+1.7
South 4, 2 honba	Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji	16%	0%	60%	23%	-27.0	0.0	-19.9	+47.0
South 4, 3 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin	0%	0%	7%	93%	+0.3	+0.3	+46.8	-47.3

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)