Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

1/28 Game 2

Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+65.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +47.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance	Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance	Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance	Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance	Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change	Sayaka Okada Expected pt change	Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change	Koshin Asakura Expected pt change
East 1	Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto	24%	26%	24%	26%	+31.2	-3.4	-27.5	-0.2
East 1, 1 honba	Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000	48%	21%	9%	22%	-10.8	-3.0	+19.3	-5.4
East 2	Koshin Asakura tsumo 5,200	39%	21%	19%	21%	-2.0	-10.2	-3.6	+15.8
East 3	Exhaustive draw	38%	14%	16%	31%	+4.0	-6.3	+0.5	+1.7
East 3, 1 honba	Koshin Asakura tsumo 5,200	41%	11%	16%	32%	-5.7	-4.5	-9.7	+20.0
East 4	Exhaustive draw	33%	9%	10%	49%	+4.7	+3.6	-5.4	-3.0
South 1, 1 honba	Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,100	37%	9%	8%	46%	-2.9	-3.1	+6.2	-0.1
South 2	Sayaka Okada tsumo 3,900	35%	9%	10%	47%	-4.3	+12.1	-6.1	-1.6
South 2, 1 honba	Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada	31%	14%	8%	47%	+2.6	-30.1	+25.1	+2.4
South 3	Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada	32%	2%	17%	49%	-10.6	-17.8	+41.7	-13.3
South 3, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	17%	0%	57%	26%	-1.6	-1.0	-1.9	+4.5
South 4, 2 honba	Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata	16%	0%	58%	25%	-26.2	0.0	-19.4	+45.7
South 4, 3 honba	Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura	0%	0%	5%	95%	-0.2	+0.1	+47.7	-47.6

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)