Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/30 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+72.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +39.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +29.5 | -28.0 | +1.2 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 46% | 11% | 23% | 20% | -26.2 | -2.8 | +0.9 | +28.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 10% | 24% | 43% | +1.2 | -3.3 | +3.9 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 8% | 26% | 42% | +17.3 | -5.6 | -9.6 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 39% | 6% | 17% | 38% | -0.6 | +3.0 | +4.3 | -6.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 40% | 7% | 20% | 32% | -6.6 | -2.2 | +8.8 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 33% | 7% | 28% | 33% | -27.3 | -7.8 | +33.8 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 7% | 1% | 66% | 26% | 0.0 | -2.3 | -37.5 | +39.9 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 0% | 6% | 91% | -6.1 | -3.9 | -5.9 | +15.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.1 | -0.5 | -1.5 | +2.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.1 | -0.4 | +4.3 | -1.8 |