Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/30 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+72.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +41.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +29.0 | -28.3 | +2.2 | -2.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 47% | 9% | 23% | 22% | -25.7 | -0.6 | -1.8 | +28.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 9% | 22% | 45% | +0.3 | -3.3 | +5.8 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 7% | 26% | 42% | +17.7 | -5.4 | -10.6 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 39% | 5% | 17% | 39% | -1.8 | +2.6 | +5.1 | -5.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,000 | 38% | 6% | 22% | 35% | -4.8 | -3.3 | +8.3 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 34% | 6% | 27% | 34% | -27.3 | -7.3 | +35.1 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 7% | 1% | 67% | 25% | -1.9 | -1.3 | -38.3 | +41.5 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 0% | 5% | 92% | -5.2 | -4.0 | -5.9 | +15.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.1 | -0.9 | -1.6 | +2.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.2 | -0.2 | +4.4 | -2.0 |