Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/30 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+50.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +54.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +6.5 | -3.0 | -1.8 | -1.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 30% | 23% | 24% | 23% | -4.3 | +0.8 | +0.2 | +3.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 23% | 24% | 26% | +2.1 | +0.4 | +3.4 | -5.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 27% | 24% | 26% | 23% | -2.3 | -2.1 | +4.7 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 21% | 29% | 23% | -7.2 | -5.3 | -12.4 | +24.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 17% | 20% | 42% | -6.5 | +0.6 | +0.8 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Koshin Asakura | 17% | 18% | 19% | 46% | -4.9 | +25.9 | -2.6 | -18.4 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 38% | 18% | 29% | -17.3 | +27.6 | -3.5 | -6.8 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami ron 1,600 from Kazunori Takizawa | 3% | 69% | 12% | 17% | +4.2 | +3.3 | -6.8 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 77% | 8% | 13% | +1.4 | -3.9 | +5.0 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 3% | 73% | 11% | 14% | -1.8 | -47.6 | +54.7 | -5.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 13% | 68% | 15% | -9.3 | -10.3 | -1.3 | +20.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 6% | 72% | 21% | -5.7 | +6.0 | 0.0 | -0.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 10% | 68% | 22% | +51.1 | -31.8 | +11.2 | -30.5 |