Game · 2019-20 Regular Season

1/30 Game 2

Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+50.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +55.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Murakami Jun 1st-place chance	Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance	Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance	Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance	Murakami Jun Expected pt change	Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change	Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change	Asakura Koshin Expected pt change
East 1	Draw	24%	26%	25%	25%	+7.8	-3.0	-0.6	-4.2
East 1, 1 honba	Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun	29%	23%	25%	23%	-5.0	+0.5	-1.3	+5.8
East 2	Draw	25%	24%	23%	28%	+5.8	-0.3	+2.4	-7.8
East 2, 1 honba	Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun	29%	24%	25%	22%	-3.3	-3.3	+5.9	+0.6
East 3	Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000	26%	20%	30%	24%	-9.1	-4.8	-11.8	+25.7
East 4	Draw	20%	17%	20%	43%	-5.5	+1.7	+1.3	+2.5
East 4, 1 honba	Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Asakura Koshin	17%	17%	20%	45%	-4.2	+24.0	-2.3	-17.5
South 1	Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000	16%	37%	19%	29%	-17.0	+29.7	-5.5	-7.3
South 2	Murakami Jun ron 1,600 from Takizawa Kazunori	3%	69%	11%	16%	+3.1	+1.6	-5.7	+1.1
South 3	Draw	3%	75%	8%	13%	+1.2	-2.8	+4.5	-2.9
South 3, 1 honba	Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka	3%	72%	10%	15%	-1.0	-47.1	+55.9	-7.8
South 3, 2 honba	Asakura Koshin tsumo 5,200	4%	14%	69%	13%	-9.9	-10.6	-3.0	+23.5
South 4	Draw	0%	8%	70%	22%	-4.9	+5.8	+0.9	-1.7
South 4, 1 honba	Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000	0%	10%	70%	21%	+50.8	-31.6	+10.6	-29.8

All 2019-20 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)