Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/31 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+69.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Makoto Sawazaki, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +48.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 6,400 from Takaharu Ooi | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | -18.9 | +17.1 | -0.4 | +2.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 37% | 24% | 26% | -1.1 | +8.0 | -2.7 | -4.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 44% | 22% | 22% | -2.7 | +6.4 | -2.7 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Makoto Sawazaki | 11% | 50% | 19% | 20% | -1.1 | -11.2 | -0.4 | +12.6 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 39% | 21% | 30% | -3.3 | -4.8 | +14.8 | -6.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 35% | 30% | 25% | -3.0 | -3.8 | -8.9 | +15.7 |
| East 4 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 31% | 23% | 37% | -8.6 | +21.4 | -4.1 | -8.7 |
| South 1 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 4% | 52% | 18% | 26% | -5.7 | +5.4 | -1.1 | +1.4 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 1% | 59% | 15% | 25% | -0.5 | -45.5 | -2.1 | +48.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 3% | 8% | 89% | +1.7 | -5.2 | +5.8 | -2.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 7,700 from Makoto Sawazaki | 1% | 4% | 10% | 86% | +2.0 | -21.0 | +23.5 | -4.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 1% | 24% | 76% | -16.4 | +6.2 | -8.8 | +19.1 |
| South 4 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -9.2 | +10.3 | +0.1 | -1.2 |