Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/31 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+69.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +45.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 6,400 from Ooi Takaharu | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -18.1 | +15.7 | +2.1 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 13% | 37% | 25% | 25% | -3.7 | +10.0 | -3.2 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 46% | 21% | 21% | +0.7 | +3.7 | -2.4 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Sawazaki Makoto | 12% | 48% | 19% | 21% | -1.5 | -8.0 | -2.7 | +12.3 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 42% | 19% | 29% | -4.4 | -9.3 | +19.0 | -5.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 33% | 32% | 25% | -4.4 | -0.3 | -9.6 | +14.3 |
| East 4 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 34% | 23% | 35% | -5.6 | +19.0 | -4.6 | -8.7 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 6% | 51% | 19% | 25% | -8.2 | +6.0 | -2.1 | +4.2 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 1% | 57% | 15% | 26% | +0.2 | -44.9 | -0.9 | +45.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 3% | 9% | 87% | +1.3 | -4.6 | +5.9 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 7,700 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 4% | 13% | 83% | +2.5 | -21.2 | +23.1 | -4.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 1% | 1% | 25% | 74% | -16.8 | +6.2 | -9.0 | +19.6 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -8.9 | +9.9 | 0.0 | -1.0 |