Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
1/31 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+57.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +31.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -10.9 | -4.8 | -7.4 | +23.1 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 16% | 22% | 19% | 44% | +7.8 | -9.1 | -0.3 | +1.6 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 14% | 19% | 47% | -6.5 | -6.7 | -17.8 | +31.0 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 6,400 from Sho Shiratori | 9% | 6% | 6% | 79% | -1.0 | +17.2 | -1.3 | -14.9 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,700 | 13% | 16% | 8% | 64% | -6.9 | -2.0 | -2.9 | +11.7 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 11% | 5% | 81% | +23.3 | -16.9 | -5.5 | -0.9 |
| South 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 3,000 | 11% | 2% | 4% | 83% | -1.6 | -2.9 | +6.4 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 2% | 6% | 81% | -11.4 | +29.0 | -19.0 | +1.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 7% | 0% | 87% | -6.7 | +4.3 | -2.3 | +4.7 |