Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/3 Game 1
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+59.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +41.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -6.5 | +0.6 | +0.7 | +5.2 |
| East 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 22% | 24% | 25% | 30% | -1.5 | -1.3 | +23.0 | -20.1 |
| East 3 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 22% | 43% | 17% | -5.2 | -8.6 | -18.7 | +32.4 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 18% | 17% | 27% | 38% | -17.7 | +19.0 | +0.7 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 9% | 30% | 25% | 36% | +4.9 | -5.2 | +4.9 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 26% | 31% | 32% | +37.3 | -10.9 | -13.2 | -13.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 4,000 | 36% | 20% | 21% | 23% | -9.7 | -6.3 | +21.4 | -5.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 25% | 15% | 40% | 20% | -3.7 | +6.8 | +2.1 | -5.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 22% | 20% | 42% | 16% | -10.3 | -3.3 | +17.4 | -3.7 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 12% | 11% | 64% | 13% | +28.2 | -30.5 | +0.3 | +1.9 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 25% | 0% | 65% | 9% | +0.9 | +0.6 | -58.9 | +57.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 27% | 1% | 2% | 70% | +41.4 | -5.0 | +1.4 | -37.8 |