Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/3 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+59.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 26% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -4.1 | -0.2 | +2.4 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 22% | 25% | 26% | 28% | -0.5 | -1.7 | +21.8 | -19.6 |
| East 3 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 21% | 43% | 16% | -8.2 | -8.5 | -17.9 | +34.5 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 17% | 18% | 27% | 39% | -17.1 | +20.4 | -1.4 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 31% | 25% | 36% | +5.1 | -5.7 | +6.7 | -6.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 26% | 32% | 30% | +36.9 | -11.1 | -14.0 | -11.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 4,000 | 35% | 19% | 23% | 23% | -7.8 | -6.6 | +22.2 | -7.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 16% | 39% | 19% | -6.0 | +6.3 | +2.2 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 21% | 20% | 42% | 17% | -9.2 | -3.6 | +16.2 | -3.3 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 12% | 12% | 62% | 14% | +27.6 | -30.1 | +1.4 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 24% | 1% | 65% | 10% | +1.4 | +0.9 | -58.9 | +56.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 26% | 1% | 3% | 70% | +41.3 | -5.0 | +1.4 | -37.8 |