Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/3 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+77.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +28.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -3.6 | +1.4 | +1.7 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 25% | 26% | 26% | -3.3 | -5.9 | +10.1 | -0.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 21% | 21% | 33% | 25% | -2.4 | -2.4 | +7.1 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 5,800 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 20% | 19% | 38% | 23% | -1.0 | -0.7 | +19.0 | -17.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 16% | 17% | 56% | 11% | +1.5 | +26.0 | -25.5 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 19% | 38% | 31% | 12% | -2.5 | +10.7 | -2.4 | -5.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 49% | 26% | 8% | -17.8 | +28.4 | -5.5 | -5.1 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 1% | 83% | 12% | 3% | -25.0 | +16.7 | +1.4 | +6.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 93% | 6% | 1% | -0.5 | +3.9 | -1.5 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 1,300 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 96% | 3% | 1% | -1.9 | -0.5 | +4.9 | -2.5 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 96% | 4% | 0% | -1.4 | +4.2 | -1.6 | -1.2 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -6.4 | -4.5 | -7.1 | +18.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +6.1 | +0.9 | +5.1 | -12.1 |