Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/3 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+77.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +30.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -2.8 | +2.0 | -0.4 | +1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 22% | 25% | 25% | 27% | -1.9 | -6.1 | +10.1 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 21% | 33% | 26% | -3.3 | -3.5 | +8.0 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 5,800 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 19% | 18% | 39% | 24% | -0.6 | +0.1 | +19.2 | -18.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 16% | 16% | 56% | 13% | +0.3 | +26.6 | -25.6 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 38% | 31% | 13% | -2.0 | +7.2 | +1.1 | -6.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 45% | 30% | 9% | -17.5 | +30.1 | -8.2 | -4.4 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 2% | 82% | 13% | 3% | -24.2 | +19.3 | -0.4 | +5.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 95% | 4% | 1% | -0.7 | +2.9 | -1.1 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 1,300 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 95% | 4% | 1% | -1.8 | -0.4 | +5.6 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 97% | 3% | 0% | -1.3 | +3.4 | -1.4 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -6.6 | -4.6 | -7.4 | +18.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | +6.3 | +1.1 | +5.4 | -12.8 |