Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/4 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+73.7pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 18,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +45.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +0.6 | -0.2 | +0.3 | -0.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -18.7 | +45.1 | -12.5 | -14.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 11% | 63% | 14% | 12% | +1.1 | -0.3 | -21.6 | +20.8 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 10% | 63% | 5% | 22% | +2.5 | +3.1 | -4.4 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 67% | 3% | 19% | -2.6 | -3.2 | -1.2 | +7.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,700 | 9% | 63% | 3% | 25% | -3.7 | +12.1 | -1.8 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 5% | 78% | 2% | 15% | -9.7 | +3.3 | -0.2 | +6.6 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 83% | 2% | 14% | -2.0 | -0.6 | -0.8 | +3.3 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 85% | 2% | 13% | +1.7 | +9.1 | -5.4 | -5.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 94% | 0% | 6% | +1.8 | +4.9 | -2.5 | -4.2 |