Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/4 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +50.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -11.0 | -4.7 | +20.0 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 22% | 39% | 22% | -4.5 | -16.1 | +23.3 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 11% | 11% | 63% | 16% | -0.1 | +0.2 | +8.5 | -8.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 10% | 8% | 71% | 11% | -9.5 | +11.2 | -0.7 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 12% | 73% | 9% | +19.5 | -6.4 | +0.2 | -13.3 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 11% | 9% | 75% | 5% | +50.1 | -14.2 | -23.9 | -12.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 57% | 4% | 36% | 3% | +3.9 | -1.1 | -4.0 | +1.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 63% | 4% | 31% | 2% | -2.8 | -2.4 | +1.6 | +3.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 61% | 4% | 32% | 3% | -0.1 | -18.2 | -7.4 | +25.6 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 68% | 0% | 24% | 8% | +22.0 | -10.1 | -9.7 | -2.3 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 96% | 0% | 1% | 3% | +6.8 | -5.0 | +2.6 | -4.3 |