Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/4 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +50.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 23% | 26% | 24% | -12.5 | -5.1 | +20.2 | -2.5 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 18% | 41% | 23% | -4.3 | -12.4 | +23.5 | -6.8 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 12% | 10% | 64% | 15% | -0.4 | 0.0 | +6.8 | -6.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 10% | 8% | 71% | 11% | -11.2 | +10.3 | +0.9 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 11% | 74% | 10% | +20.9 | -6.0 | -0.6 | -14.3 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 12% | 8% | 76% | 5% | +50.3 | -12.5 | -24.6 | -13.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 5% | 35% | 2% | +2.0 | -2.3 | -1.9 | +2.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 61% | 3% | 33% | 2% | -1.1 | -2.5 | -0.2 | +3.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 4% | 32% | 3% | +0.6 | -18.3 | -7.2 | +24.9 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 69% | 0% | 23% | 8% | +20.3 | -9.7 | -10.1 | -0.5 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 95% | 0% | 1% | 4% | +7.5 | -5.1 | +3.2 | -5.6 |