Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/6 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+63.0pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +34.7 | -3.6 | -29.0 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 20% | 9% | 20% | -9.6 | -6.5 | +19.6 | -3.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 18% | 18% | 20% | -1.5 | -2.7 | +2.8 | +1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 15% | 20% | 22% | -12.5 | -13.1 | +37.8 | -12.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 9% | 48% | 14% | +4.9 | +3.9 | -5.4 | -3.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 34% | 11% | 42% | 13% | +17.2 | -12.2 | -0.2 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 49% | 6% | 38% | 7% | -8.7 | +1.3 | +23.0 | -15.5 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 4,000 | 29% | 3% | 66% | 2% | +0.2 | -9.1 | +0.9 | +7.9 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 28% | 0% | 69% | 3% | -1.4 | +17.9 | +2.4 | -18.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 0% | 77% | 1% | -2.2 | +2.4 | -1.1 | +0.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 0% | 77% | 1% | -0.2 | -0.7 | -2.1 | +3.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 1% | 74% | 2% | -4.3 | -3.7 | -1.1 | +9.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,200 from Seiichi Kondo | 19% | 1% | 76% | 4% | -10.0 | +3.5 | +16.0 | -9.4 |