Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/6 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+63.0pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +39.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +36.4 | -3.7 | -30.0 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 19% | 9% | 21% | -9.5 | -4.0 | +18.6 | -5.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 46% | 19% | 16% | 20% | -1.3 | -4.9 | +4.3 | +1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 45% | 15% | 20% | 19% | -15.5 | -12.6 | +39.2 | -11.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 27% | 9% | 51% | 14% | +4.2 | +4.0 | -4.5 | -3.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 32% | 11% | 44% | 13% | +18.3 | -13.3 | -0.8 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 48% | 5% | 40% | 7% | -6.5 | +1.6 | +21.3 | -16.5 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,000 | 31% | 3% | 65% | 2% | -0.9 | -9.3 | +1.8 | +8.3 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 28% | 0% | 69% | 2% | -1.9 | +18.4 | +2.6 | -19.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 21% | 0% | 78% | 1% | -1.7 | +2.9 | -1.6 | +0.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 1% | 77% | 1% | -0.6 | -2.0 | -2.2 | +4.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 3,000 | 23% | 1% | 74% | 2% | -3.6 | -2.7 | -0.2 | +6.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,200 from Kondo Seiichi | 18% | 1% | 78% | 3% | -10.3 | +3.3 | +15.0 | -8.0 |