Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/6 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+61.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +31.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +31.8 | -8.8 | -12.0 | -11.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 49% | 17% | 17% | 16% | -8.4 | -3.1 | +16.7 | -5.2 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 42% | 17% | 25% | 16% | -0.8 | -9.0 | +11.5 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 39% | 11% | 35% | 15% | -6.2 | +1.6 | +31.8 | -27.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 7% | 64% | 4% | -0.7 | -2.6 | +3.6 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 6% | 67% | 3% | -3.4 | +5.0 | -2.1 | +0.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 7% | 68% | 4% | +26.9 | -4.8 | -10.7 | -11.5 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 46% | 5% | 48% | 1% | -25.1 | -0.9 | +24.9 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 11% | 3% | 86% | 1% | -27.7 | +28.4 | +1.3 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 10% | 88% | 1% | +0.9 | -1.6 | +0.8 | -0.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 9% | 89% | 1% | -1.4 | -9.6 | +1.6 | +9.4 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 97% | 1% | -15.3 | -4.9 | -8.8 | +29.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 94% | 5% | -13.7 | +15.1 | +1.8 | -3.3 |