Game · 2019-20 Regular Season
2/6 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+61.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +31.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 23% | +27.9 | -9.8 | -9.7 | -8.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 47% | 19% | 18% | 17% | -5.5 | -5.5 | +17.1 | -6.0 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 42% | 16% | 28% | 14% | -1.6 | -6.6 | +10.7 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 39% | 12% | 35% | 14% | -5.3 | +1.1 | +31.4 | -27.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 25% | 7% | 64% | 4% | -0.6 | -3.4 | +3.8 | +0.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 24% | 7% | 66% | 3% | -3.6 | +4.8 | -1.2 | +0.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 6% | 68% | 4% | +27.7 | -5.1 | -10.9 | -11.6 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 48% | 4% | 47% | 1% | -25.3 | +0.1 | +24.1 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 12% | 3% | 84% | 1% | -27.7 | +26.7 | +2.3 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 8% | 89% | 1% | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | +0.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 9% | 89% | 1% | -2.3 | -8.4 | +1.6 | +9.1 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 2% | 96% | 1% | -14.1 | -5.6 | -9.0 | +28.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 1% | 93% | 6% | -14.1 | +15.1 | +2.4 | -3.4 |